TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3301…95bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT7736.4%28 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$169.99
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+409.8%+$118.72
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$68.89
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$54.88
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$192
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+426.3%+$243
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$376
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$18.27
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+911.9%+$547.14
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$21.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.61
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$44.67
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$80.67
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$182.15
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.29
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.38
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$133.17
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+527.7%+$124
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.4%+$657.89
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.79
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$173.24
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+40.9%+$29.07
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 2backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 4backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$37.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.