TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c26,274$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes10c5,181$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Yes2c1,688$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2310942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes10c1,391$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.113231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No70c1,134$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.763,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes10c1,123$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes23c1,103$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.862,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes18c1,086$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.411,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51d…0c67backed Yes15c806.63$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.631216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6012…53f8backed Yes11c776.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes7c650.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5316633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked Yes15c599.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480f…62d4backed Yes10c596.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1c…b28cbacked Yes10c569.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.922416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes20c508.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yes16c508$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2885851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ff…5946backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3a…dec9backed Yes10c480.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…912cbacked Yes15c438.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.842810.7%3 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-68.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes10c399.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9827154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes14c361.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19a0…d461backed Yes14c344.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b4c…b0bfbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb30…f66cbacked Yes32c297.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+82.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes9c285.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.151,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…f915backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes57c262.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes26c260.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.781,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes10c257.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes9c256.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.044742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes12c253.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes33c253$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.499023.3%21 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed Yes10c231.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes24c225$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5329338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ff…c587backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes10c209.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.911850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027940.5%113 W · 166 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9390…6303backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes10c188$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.863229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…625abacked Yes11c180.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c173.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.552,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes11c167.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9112128.1%34 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2d…4d83backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes13c158.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.648119.8%16 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a13…588fbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157015.7%11 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa08…b01ebacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8091…6bf6backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509142.9%39 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d7…7661backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd68f…8d49backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked No77c140.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1713844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d80…367cbacked Yes10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411818.6%22 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes10c136.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb3…4091backed Yes10c134.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.455143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Yes11c132.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.612630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes15c129.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a82…e798backed Yes34c129.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…675ebacked Yes14c128.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes20c127.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No78c117$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes10c107$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.745740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes11c101.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes25c101.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.352,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Yes10c100.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes15c100.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.022532%8 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108035%28 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7665…bf95backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7df…e3babacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…7fc0backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027051.9%140 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe340…3adcbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105625%14 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x569e…0661backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102528%7 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c00…d853backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9d…ea44backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cc…2ac4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aaa…6707backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5f…e751backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109947.5%47 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb862…aee4backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf7b…2e78backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3a…0f3dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.