Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08f7dba1b56e93041a94c3b7d7b578daebf17536839251155faa4f3cceb4a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 31,442$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…4e36backed Yes | 11c | 6,200$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e824backed Yes | 11c | 2,791$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,526$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 2,375$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…b288backed Yes | 11c | 2,118$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 1,938$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…6343backed Yes | 11c | 1,790$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,473$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 1,301$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 8c | 1,246$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…22d3backed Yes | 5c | 977.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 917$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…389ebacked Yes | 10c | 911.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…5e50backed Yes | 11c | 815.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…0661backed Yes | 11c | 725.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 10c | 702.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…92febacked Yes | 11c | 692.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…01a4backed Yes | 14c | 683$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…4d83backed Yes | 15c | 671.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…a687backed Yes | 10c | 648.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ff…5946backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…8f2dbacked Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…a894backed Yes | 11c | 518.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…0a29backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…80e9backed Yes | 11c | 462.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…1002backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…4c96backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec19…862bbacked Yes | 11c | 444.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 10c | 441.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 11c | 420$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…cc88backed Yes | 12c | 410$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435b…c0aebacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…60ebbacked Yes | 12c | 341.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 12c | 308.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 11c | 299.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…41e0backed Yes | 5c | 259.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 11c | 259.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…db0ebacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…0c67backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…141dbacked Yes | 12c | 242$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…f59fbacked Yes | 12c | 223.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 11c | 210.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…ec38backed Yes | 10c | 209.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…8a0fbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 11c | 204$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…8356backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaf…66b1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…5362backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…8d87backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 9c | 197.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…0321backed Yes | 11c | 197.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…7661backed Yes | 8c | 191.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…111bbacked Yes | 13c | 184.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…852cbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…03b0backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304d…8558backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 20.8%16 W · 61 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…8e38backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…45aabacked Yes | 10c | 169.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…c4b6backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 9c | 158.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 12c | 154.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2c…f64fbacked Yes | 12c | 153.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…0dadbacked Yes | 12c | 153.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…d6babacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6f…8579backed Yes | 12c | 141.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 13c | 139.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…ab88backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…df33backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…6a6dbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…1b5cbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…b7adbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…079ebacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.