Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15460943342c5ad36eb60c1367eb8e4a1d2c4ce5e23985dc6ee65ede98b88e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 10,731$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 3,803$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.33 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,004$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…6343backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,823$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…c1bebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 10c | 976.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 9c | 908.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 8c | 728.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 604.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…d463backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…d461backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 10c | 464.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 11c | 456.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…b6c4backed Yes | 11c | 434.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 11c | 427.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…5851backed Yes | 10c | 355.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 10c | 340.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f190backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…4c96backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 9c | 271.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 10c | 229.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…5998backed Yes | 5c | 224.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…5567backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 10c | 198$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 9c | 188.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…53f8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…0a29backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…dcecbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…b1d9backed Yes | 11c | 122.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…df3abacked Yes | 10c | 107.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…cc88backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…66c7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…02abbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…4da5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304d…8558backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…881abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…b7adbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…5044backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.