Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa58ea4cf6ca6afae84a6f3c80a0ba87a856b485d1f8e0b727fb1f14b8c713d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 26,064$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Yes | 5c | 2,367$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 7c | 2,101$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 2,070$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,697$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…4d83backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 933.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…30d7backed Yes | 7c | 797.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…dcf8backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 6c | 585$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…ec38backed Yes | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 402.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…a8d4backed Yes | 8c | 296.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…c4b6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…6621backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…c376backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x760a…4e6ebacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…1b5cbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…84f6backed Yes | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…cc88backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…5831backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…773abacked Yes | 7c | 193.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103b…2b09backed Yes | 7c | 171.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 7c | 160.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…48c8backed Yes | 7c | 148.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…7c4cbacked Yes | 7c | 144.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…625abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…cb65backed Yes | 9c | 105.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…ab92backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.