TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7e5…a830

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9947.5%47 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,717.96
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+457%+$8,631.94
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,214.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,090.22
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$128.57
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$834.42
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$294.03
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$923.74
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$101
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.9
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$106.28
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.