Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,168,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,166,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,168,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 28,957 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x476e…396dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,347,721$446,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901,005.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…bd92backed Yes | 59c | 3,303,958$1,952,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351,530.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 39c | 3,124,379$1,212,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911,991.08 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 16c | 2,682,663$420,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262,508.9 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,430,533$307,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122,775.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 41c | 1,892,081$776,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776,976.94 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 1,790,429$419,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371,262.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 58c | 1,652,748$961,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691,542.27 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 41c | 1,650,371$678,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678,542.02 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…18d9backed Yes | 16c | 1,564,372$250,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313,744.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…0df2backed Yes | 59c | 1,532,320$896,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635,888.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…ee59backed Yes | 59c | 1,314,430$778,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536,287.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 1,308,779$362,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945,832.88 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 23c | 1,285,973$296,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989,276.37 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,267,233$190,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076,482.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 17c | 1,261,446$218,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042,718.24 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 41c | 1,111,110$454,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454,443.99 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,028,119$296,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731,485.78 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…6f01backed Yes | 57c | 971,417$552,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418,733.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Yes | 59c | 857,183$507,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350,162.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…504ebacked Yes | 17c | 854,885$147,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707,457.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…3b38backed Yes | 19c | 780,192$146,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633,515.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 21c | 769,283$161,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608,140.56 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 15c | 767,173$112,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654,950.07 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes | 20c | 757,248$149,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607,289.83 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…e2f5backed Yes | 19c | 740,921$138,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602,476.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 17c | 734,827$124,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610,187.02 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 23c | 717,730$165,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552,462.34 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 25c | 711,670$174,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536,779.84 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Yes | 17c | 678,563$115,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563,328 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed Yes | 20c | 677,468$135,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541,487.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 19c | 675,890$130,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545,647.46 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 18c | 651,732$119,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532,526.42 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Yes | 14c | 567,850$77,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490,054.9 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes | 19c | 552,926$107,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445,178.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…2e32backed Yes | 12c | 552,352$67,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484,921.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed Yes | 58c | 550,000$318,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,049.98 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…ee63backed Yes | 17c | 534,954$90,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444,861.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +196.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b4…e777backed Yes | 19c | 517,241$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417,240.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 16c | 512,923$80,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432,388.78 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bc8abacked Yes | 51c | 511,734$258,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,816.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 16c | 488,140$78,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409,893.54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Yes | 18c | 452,031$81,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370,651.36 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 16c | 406,726$63,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342,773.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed Yes | 57c | 397,547$227,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,740.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes | 16c | 379,944$61,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,659.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 16c | 376,866$59,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317,447.45 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 24c | 371,069$88,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282,123.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…0b8cbacked Yes | 14c | 369,095$50,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,922.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 17c | 357,570$60,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297,507.53 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 356,478$77,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279,145.59 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c8…d2d0backed Yes | 19c | 349,010$67,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281,985.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…e6c4backed Yes | 15c | 341,360$51,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290,107.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +233%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d030backed Yes | 16c | 340,352$54,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285,594.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 17c | 324,145$54,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269,622.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 10c | 320,000$32,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287,680 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 29c | 311,627$90,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,741.17 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Yes | 17c | 306,110$50,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,493.17 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Yes | 22c | 305,558$65,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,862.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 17c | 304,466$50,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,747.28 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 13c | 304,240$41,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,239.92 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 17c | 303,030$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,030.3 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 15c | 302,481$45,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,491.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes | 14c | 300,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259,199.94 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 13c | 284,634$37,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,935.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +655%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659b…ffbdbacked Yes | 15c | 276,091$41,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,054.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Yes | 27c | 275,985$74,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,771.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 13c | 274,766$36,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,949.42 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes | 20c | 273,980$53,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,553.34 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 14c | 262,225$37,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,482.97 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 17c | 256,200$43,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,709.31 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…5348backed Yes | 13c | 251,721$32,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,674.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 10c | 247,787$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,786.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes | 14c | 245,397$35,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209,978.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…a85ebacked No | 78c | 243,804$190,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,410.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 42c | 243,100$102,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,084.84 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Yes | 58c | 242,695$140,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,378.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 71c | 241,582$171,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,119.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 12c | 233,408$29,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,288.93 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…c3f9backed Yes | 16c | 232,375$38,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,033.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +102%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 15c | 227,255$34,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,361.49 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 59c | 227,043$132,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,222.84 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 20c | 224,608$45,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,078.88 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes | 16c | 221,429$35,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186,060.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 47c | 220,299$102,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,432.19 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 13c | 216,888$28,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,293.47 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…ecd7backed Yes | 20c | 207,604$42,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,570.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d987backed Yes | 17c | 206,227$35,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,152.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 19c | 201,373$37,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,520.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 13c | 200,263$25,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,139.95 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 41c | 200,005$81,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,662.01 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 16c | 200,000$32,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,700 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 14c | 200,000$27,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,200 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 25c | 196,857$48,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,360.12 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 14c | 196,382$27,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,957.4 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +380.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed Yes | 13c | 196,339$25,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,162.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Yes | 10c | 194,090$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,089.76 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 193,152$29,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,250.14 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 16c | 192,848$31,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,189.55 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes | 11c | 189,824$21,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,283.55 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.