TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,337,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,402,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,337,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c5,294,818$5,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,294.821529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c4,999,987$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.99306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c4,369,788$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.7913122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes0c4,228,099$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.262711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes0c3,249,999$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3507222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-40.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed Yes0c2,475,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c2,000,766$5,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,486.03260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes0c2,000,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed Yes0c1,874,000$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8743154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes0c1,500,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681b…2f73backed Yes0c1,443,430$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.8690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f0…5174backed Yes0c1,417,591$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.1850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c1,400,446$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.4532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes0c1,342,337$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.675014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b2d…ee33backed Yes0c1,204,970$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.97520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes0c1,100,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b4…8281backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes0c900,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes0c889,286$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.579723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c888,888$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.8910012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes0c810,181$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.367342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+75.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes0c750,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7f…498cbacked Yes0c712,425$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c575,005$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.131705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes0c496,999$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9946127.9%17 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb6…8e4abacked Yes0c475,588$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.59812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a0acbacked Yes0c455,525$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes0c431,999$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664385.3%2 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c313,815$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.52352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c297,414$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6526330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes0c288,449$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b59…58e6backed Yes0c273,560$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.562020%4 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9e…75fdbacked Yes0c267,200$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-82%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Yes0c262,502$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes0c250,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ee…0938backed Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes0c230,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306021.7%13 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d44…9edfbacked Yes0c226,190$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c221,737$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.471136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c209,432$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.869516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4eb…d14bbacked Yes0c206,700$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.995831%18 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Yes0c204,500$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2988316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012733.1%42 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes0c200,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac8…cdd2backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c198,537$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115a…e4a6backed Yes0c194,965$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.93180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c189,176$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.58130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes0c184,169$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.492425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes0c180,500$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36129018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c8…ce87backed Yes0c151,500$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c151,279$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.15392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fc…510dbacked Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576e…537fbacked Yes0c145,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c140,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked Yes0c135,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…607abacked Yes0c134,630$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d60…0912backed Yes0c126,040$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes0c125,667$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3823414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes0c125,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes0c125,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbee3…9c77backed Yes0c123,060$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.06100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes0c105,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c102,717$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1512711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c101,400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.28318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c62…cd27backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200808.8%7 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd512…79b3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6100…35e2backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-80.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8005…16eabacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3285…05aebacked Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes0c100,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508528.2%24 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9719…5965backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-53.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250e…4be0backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes0c95,400$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.43312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes0c95,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3868…7ecfbacked Yes0c94,340$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.34100%0 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes0c92,410$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.82110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes0c92,391$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.785518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a42…fab9backed Yes0c89,777$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.55160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc20…f00dbacked Yes0c89,642$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9908…2d34backed Yes0c86,175$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c84,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10818510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ee…9024backed Yes0c81,650$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…f102backed Yes0c80,500$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…9830backed Yes0c79,561$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.12140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c79,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.