TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,858,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,372,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,858,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c6,985,022$23,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,954.66306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c5,735,007$12,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,720.0113122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c4,947,571$12,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,395.141529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c4,774,642$13,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,159.24260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Yes0c3,166,852$9,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,500.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Yes0c2,872,898$8,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,618.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes0c2,698,361$7,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,826.13224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-70.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c2,660,313$6,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,570.6216927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes1c2,549,166$13,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,781137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed Yes0c2,258,460$6,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,109.38248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c1,728,900$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes0c1,700,000$5,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,09519723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28e…bc55backed Yes0c1,659,213$4,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,965.14520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-66.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes0c1,632,186$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.3750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Yes0c1,400,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6004436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes0c1,400,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20015552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes0c1,221,985$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,887.94567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes1c1,052,750$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,263.75395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes0c1,000,076$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.233215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes0c1,000,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c992,897$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.79478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c970,425$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.2832629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes0c800,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60016647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Yes0c750,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008055%44 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes0c750,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae7…68d2backed Yes0c654,607$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.034436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed Yes0c603,105$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.423315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes0c594,840$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.17385.3%2 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes0c500,329$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.99147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-65.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes0c500,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-74.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes0c482,392$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.2479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes0c449,999$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes0c425,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8906328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb5…b536backed Yes0c424,053$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.3190%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c415,462$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.3926330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe078…cec5backed Yes0c377,750$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-91.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c354,846$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.68210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes0c350,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007241.7%30 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes0c345,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes1c334,182$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.09205%1 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-86.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…417cbacked Yes0c319,081$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes0c317,000$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8341717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes0c312,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes0c309,079$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91b…fb62backed Yes0c301,193$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.391323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes0c300,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600254%1 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8214…a1fabacked Yes0c275,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes0c268,064$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.82,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes0c266,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb9…2612backed Yes1c250,299$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.2960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbd…4bd9backed Yes0c250,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8664…dd88backed Yes0c250,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000254%1 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-72.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes0c250,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504122%9 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes0c249,999$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes0c247,256$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.859723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f4…b910backed Yes0c246,640$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3886…a93dbacked Yes0c240,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58020344.8%91 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe5…f63dbacked Yes0c225,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe99…1444backed Yes0c220,392$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c213,833$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0003…e2cdbacked Yes0c209,999$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.15287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes0c205,485$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.945014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1842…16eabacked Yes0c202,565$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.26180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7578…6426backed Yes0c200,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007335.6%26 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked Yes0c200,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006322.2%14 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c194,344$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.384422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Yes0c185,990$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.967347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda63…4378backed Yes0c180,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b9…74d8backed Yes0c177,557$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.6750%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Yes0c177,000$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes0c171,392$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.223644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Yes0c169,429$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.722917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked Yes0c162,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Yes0c161,833$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes0c156,250$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4774825%12 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes0c150,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008731%27 W · 60 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes1c138,524$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.622015%3 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-74.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes1c134,074$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.371921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-70.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes1c130,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45cc…27d6backed Yes0c128,957$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9d…7373backed Yes0c125,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed Yes0c125,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c0…4cd4backed Yes0c125,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed Yes0c125,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5698…ed7dbacked Yes0c125,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb013…6b3abacked Yes1c124,167$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.83195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c121,000$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes0c120,329$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.54270%0 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes0c117,582$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.751612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf59…1064backed Yes0c117,200$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Yes1c115,792$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-79.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c111,993$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.979516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes0c111,111$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.222714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf72c…eeb7backed Yes0c111,110$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.11812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-82.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Yes0c110,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes0c105,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28022447.3%106 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes0c104,000$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41624526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.