Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675bba4df50fd123f7fbfbafa67e9b75f4092d85ce0f9148ce78fc945964c856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,400,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,364,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,400,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 738 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 0c | 10,417,130$23,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,538.31 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,250,986$14,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,501.77 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…cf8ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,896,342$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,409,034$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409.03 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…fc58backed Yes | 0c | 4,350,225$8,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,911.67 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 4,316,970$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.97 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 4,009,650$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.65 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 0c | 2,727,713$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 0c | 2,600,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…f086backed Yes | 0c | 2,558,854$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…eea1backed Yes | 0c | 2,238,753$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 0c | 1,926,420$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.99 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 1,805,729$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.46 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…f754backed Yes | 0c | 1,518,749$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.25 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 0c | 1,500,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 1,355,910$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.18 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 0c | 1,321,142$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.43 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee0…1901backed Yes | 0c | 1,169,423$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 1,100,589$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 0c | 992,527$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 0c | 750,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc625…908ebacked Yes | 0c | 735,155$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 0c | 648,500$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.75 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 619,333$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.24 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes | 0c | 600,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 0c | 564,785$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.61 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes | 0c | 498,395$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 444,444$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.78 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…9955backed Yes | 0c | 426,078$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.05 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 0c | 416,056$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.66 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…1109backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 0c | 400,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…7260backed Yes | 0c | 393,275$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.83 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 0c | 389,409$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.82 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Yes | 0c | 373,598$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 0c | 267,458$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.1 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…24f0backed Yes | 0c | 266,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…fd30backed Yes | 0c | 256,000$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…4bd9backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Yes | 0c | 243,343$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.01 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 227,000$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 0c | 219,516$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…7e84backed Yes | 0c | 208,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…be63backed Yes | 0c | 201,291$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21a…faaebacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 0c | 199,998$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes | 0c | 190,638$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 0c | 183,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 0c | 167,210$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.91 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…b100backed Yes | 0c | 160,200$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…b8cabacked Yes | 0c | 160,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…6cb1backed Yes | 0c | 155,411$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…9cccbacked Yes | 0c | 155,069$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…aa22backed Yes | 0c | 155,033$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…6f1ebacked Yes | 0c | 154,848$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…2d1bbacked Yes | 0c | 154,694$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f31…3b6fbacked Yes | 0c | 154,099$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…5959backed Yes | 0c | 153,820$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 0c | 153,206$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…fba9backed Yes | 0c | 152,611$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…f7cebacked Yes | 0c | 151,020$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…b3d9backed Yes | 0c | 150,869$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021b…fe19backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 149,999$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…ef39backed Yes | 0c | 149,133$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…c4aebacked Yes | 0c | 149,095$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…294ebacked Yes | 0c | 149,095$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…cafdbacked Yes | 0c | 149,095$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes | 0c | 148,709$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…c592backed Yes | 0c | 144,565$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 144,443$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 0c | 143,427$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2259…5605backed Yes | 0c | 134,804$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.26 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…aa61backed Yes | 0c | 129,305$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…5b4abacked Yes | 0c | 126,667$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -86%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a0…a9f6backed Yes | 0c | 125,705$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 123,348$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…1f7dbacked Yes | 0c | 118,170$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…1d17backed Yes | 0c | 112,790$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3a…1126backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…40b4backed Yes | 0c | 107,150$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 0c | 105,555$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…b6a3backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…6087backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…ce2cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83e…ac22backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.