Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc69cb672591e4fcd2ef856b64b219a906e15d4601b50066ac81a446574dfaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,207,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,917,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,207,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 765 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 20,549,313$20,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,549.31 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 15,190,137$15,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,866.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 3,491,110$8,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232.22 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e39…0055backed Yes | 0c | 2,646,709$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.76 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 0c | 2,121,835$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.83 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 0c | 2,000,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 0c | 1,847,389$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…8b21backed Yes | 0c | 1,756,364$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0d36backed Yes | 0c | 1,718,983$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 0c | 1,692,195$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.49 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 0c | 1,500,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…db9dbacked Yes | 0c | 1,225,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f864backed Yes | 0c | 1,046,621$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.62 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…23f5backed Yes | 0c | 1,038,338$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.96 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…fedebacked Yes | 0c | 1,030,542$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.75 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 0c | 1,025,161$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.16 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f00…1747backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 935,569$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.49 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 0c | 900,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 850,934$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.31 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…fb37backed Yes | 0c | 808,118$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 0c | 745,305$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.03 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 0c | 699,999$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…53b3backed Yes | 0c | 643,200$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e71dbacked Yes | 0c | 591,970$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Yes | 0c | 502,910$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.91 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 0c | 499,997$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 0c | 499,729$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 0c | 493,972$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.94 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 0c | 446,028$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.03 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…5697backed Yes | 0c | 400,200$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…242cbacked Yes | 0c | 399,900$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 0c | 385,148$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 0c | 381,027$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.03 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…d4f3backed Yes | 0c | 375,440$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.44 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 0c | 368,000$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 0c | 360,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…7b87backed Yes | 0c | 310,916$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.92 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…e309backed Yes | 0c | 303,000$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…6b20backed Yes | 0c | 301,000$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…65eebacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 299,998$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 0c | 288,080$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.08 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549e…2c14backed Yes | 0c | 284,030$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…9b89backed Yes | 0c | 275,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…bbcabacked Yes | 0c | 272,660$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…cd0bbacked Yes | 0c | 250,662$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 0c | 250,139$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…4bd9backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…1109backed Yes | 0c | 240,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…5e02backed Yes | 0c | 213,630$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.63 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 210,958$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 0c | 203,856$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb57…ea51backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…506fbacked Yes | 0c | 193,100$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…c5e2backed Yes | 0c | 184,091$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…8f38backed Yes | 0c | 180,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes | 0c | 177,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…3bd1backed Yes | 0c | 175,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 0c | 160,825$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.65 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…b532backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…daffbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb0…d468backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…3cbcbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…40afbacked Yes | 0c | 148,866$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…4651backed Yes | 0c | 146,640$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 0c | 142,027$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…f104backed Yes | 0c | 135,990$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes | 0c | 133,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…7fe6backed Yes | 0c | 130,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…c330backed Yes | 0c | 124,510$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Yes | 0c | 124,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d85…a385backed Yes | 0c | 123,453$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Yes | 0c | 119,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…57c7backed Yes | 0c | 116,420$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 112,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 0c | 111,250$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…46d7backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…4c92backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…fed7backed Yes | 1c | 108,699$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2253…4b5abacked Yes | 0c | 108,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…3cbbbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 0c | 105,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 0c | 103,090$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Yes | 0c | 102,716$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.