Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32cfa52198e85e070d1b17d1b53c5c3a6aaae7736cdc33fa6aa04d353f0c2811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,278,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,545,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,278,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,574,258$181,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,580.42 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…06dabacked Yes | 2c | 3,200,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 1c | 2,643,707$33,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,686.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,413,355$31,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,303.15 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 2,204,590$43,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,960.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 2c | 2,184,376$38,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,152.23 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 2,133,292$21,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,932.1 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…396dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,799.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,075,291$24,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,530.76 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 2c | 2,037,068$35,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,325.96 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,019,830$24,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,959.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 1c | 1,951,591$24,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,315 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,918,058$22,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,562.23 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,818,164$23,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,372.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…708bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,629,048$55,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,274.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 1,492,343$23,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,985.58 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,440,936$14,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,616.22 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,366,217$32,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,222.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 1c | 1,357,430$18,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,091.17 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 1c | 1,308,815$16,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,309.54 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 2c | 1,180,645$21,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,674.05 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,164,532$21,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,834.68 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…1222backed Yes | 2c | 1,082,930$21,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,658.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,055,418$12,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,684.28 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…4012backed Yes | 1c | 1,054,502$15,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,703.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…fbd6backed Yes | 2c | 954,760$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,800 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 1c | 854,210$12,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,144.18 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 1c | 834,800$11,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,511.51 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 2c | 781,990$13,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,697.82 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 2c | 746,895$14,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 1c | 703,768$7,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.93 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 640,348$8,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.22 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Yes | 2c | 634,783$13,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,584.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Yes | 2c | 630,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 2c | 609,703$13,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,413.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 2c | 580,790$11,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,578.21 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…8356backed Yes | 2c | 525,976$9,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,051.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 508,224$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.44 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 2c | 490,230$8,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,536.71 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 490,119$10,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,177.27 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes | 2c | 480,483$7,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,582.44 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 2c | 478,525$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,347.68 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 2c | 475,804$7,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,878.04 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 2c | 475,327$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575.26 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…8510backed Yes | 2c | 454,545$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 2c | 452,283$8,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.24 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…1982backed Yes | 2c | 451,800$9,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,086 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…fcaebacked Yes | 2c | 446,844$9,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,419.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…ac5abacked Yes | 2c | 441,636$9,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,715.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 2c | 430,680$7,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025.24 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 2c | 425,558$9,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,106.7 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes | 2c | 419,999$9,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,859.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 1c | 412,016$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.95 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 2c | 408,676$7,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,767.32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…f63dbacked Yes | 1c | 400,008$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.1 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 1c | 400,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 1c | 399,470$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510.17 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…8fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 396,611$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 1c | 392,984$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.57 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…2612backed Yes | 2c | 380,696$7,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,667.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 1c | 378,643$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.38 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…6621backed Yes | 1c | 374,683$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.02 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 2c | 349,999$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 2c | 340,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…8edfbacked Yes | 1c | 333,497$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.96 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 2c | 331,157$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.94 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…4a73backed Yes | 2c | 330,874$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 1c | 325,200$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 2c | 319,969$6,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…c416backed Yes | 2c | 319,794$5,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 2c | 310,000$6,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 2c | 301,690$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 2c | 300,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…aa9ebacked Yes | 2c | 286,666$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…d79ebacked Yes | 2c | 282,609$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…bdfdbacked Yes | 2c | 278,409$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 0c | 268,725$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes | 2c | 258,341$5,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,583.51 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed Yes | 2c | 257,573$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 1c | 251,965$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.32 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 2c | 251,865$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…2bb9backed Yes | 2c | 250,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Yes | 2c | 249,999$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.98 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes | 2c | 247,617$5,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 2c | 247,000$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…c869backed Yes | 2c | 246,657$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe003…bb4fbacked Yes | 2c | 241,556$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 2c | 236,978$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 1c | 232,222$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.89 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…c869backed Yes | 2c | 231,291$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Yes | 2c | 230,317$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…93f7backed Yes | 1c | 230,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa1…7b6abacked Yes | 2c | 221,572$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes | 2c | 221,173$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 2c | 220,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…0938backed Yes | 2c | 211,675$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.96 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…c64bbacked Yes | 2c | 210,526$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 1c | 206,841$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.72 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 1c | 206,748$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.72 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.