Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0dbdc94b28c5cffeef64ed6b13e5f0f2324fb177e5ffaa634b48c88fe18d5e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,544,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,308,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,544,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,406,674$41,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,126.24 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 7,658,016$22,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,022.5 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 7,258,765$19,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,030.28 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 0c | 2,499,999$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 0c | 2,000,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 1,715,129$7,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,011.03 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…f754backed Yes | 0c | 1,575,000$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Yes | 0c | 1,562,610$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,520,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…1956backed Yes | 0c | 1,500,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…347ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,220,553$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 1,150,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 1,139,484$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 0c | 1,098,512$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 1c | 999,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes | 0c | 780,000$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 0c | 622,222$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.67 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 0c | 608,000$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 584,500$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 0c | 513,248$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.74 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 0c | 501,715$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.15 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…8edfbacked Yes | 0c | 457,610$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.22 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes | 0c | 427,021$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 421,381$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.9 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 0c | 377,552$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.76 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 0c | 373,637$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.55 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…7260backed Yes | 0c | 357,351$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.4 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 0c | 357,083$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 0c | 310,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 299,999$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.11 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 0c | 260,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 1c | 250,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 1c | 245,333$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes | 0c | 233,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 140 | 29.3%41 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…1109backed Yes | 0c | 227,186$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 0c | 225,617$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…fbd6backed Yes | 1c | 216,667$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 0c | 213,785$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.77 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 0c | 205,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…b8fabacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…635fbacked Yes | 0c | 199,167$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 198,030$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 0c | 190,100$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…fb62backed Yes | 1c | 190,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 184,034$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.19 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…d79ebacked Yes | 0c | 183,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Yes | 0c | 175,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…8e27backed Yes | 0c | 173,614$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 1c | 170,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 1c | 166,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 1c | 166,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 1c | 166,666$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.33 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…791dbacked Yes | 1c | 162,936$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…895bbacked Yes | 0c | 160,393$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…0534backed Yes | 1c | 160,000$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 155,555$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.33 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2070…ed53backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…4991backed Yes | 0c | 129,999$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes | 0c | 126,900$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 1c | 120,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…2787backed Yes | 1c | 116,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 115,898$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 88 | 22.7%20 W · 68 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes | 0c | 107,423$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…9badbacked Yes | 0c | 107,250$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 0c | 103,082$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.78 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…763abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…4f36backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…4378backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 0c | 98,412$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yes | 0c | 94,166$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.67 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…9547backed Yes | 1c | 90,583$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…401cbacked Yes | 0c | 88,638$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…0edabacked Yes | 0c | 87,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…76f1backed Yes | 1c | 85,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…47a5backed Yes | 1c | 84,833$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…1bcdbacked Yes | 1c | 83,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…44f6backed Yes | 1c | 81,868$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded1…83b3backed Yes | 0c | 79,167$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…fb16backed Yes | 0c | 71,695$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…020bbacked Yes | 1c | 71,167$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Yes | 1c | 69,577$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.89 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 1c | 67,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…7e84backed Yes | 1c | 66,667$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.