TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,544,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,308,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,544,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c8,406,674$41,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,126.24306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c7,658,016$22,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,022.513122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c7,258,765$19,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,030.281529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c2,499,999$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,250478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes0c2,000,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0008932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c1,715,129$7,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,011.0326330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed Yes0c1,575,000$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,725248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x205c…9192backed Yes0c1,562,610$4,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,687.8350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes0c1,520,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x703b…1956backed Yes0c1,500,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b6…347ebacked Yes1c1,220,553$7,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,323.321526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c1,150,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c1,139,484$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes0c1,098,512$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.023138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Yes1c999,999$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes0c780,000$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c622,222$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.67260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes0c608,000$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4286113.1%8 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c584,500$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50432629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes0c513,248$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.7414732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes0c501,715$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.152711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes0c500,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003333.3%11 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes0c500,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c500,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes0c457,610$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.223710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes0c427,021$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.0850%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes1c421,381$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.95014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c377,552$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.769516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes0c373,637$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.5588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Yes0c357,351$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.42917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes0c357,083$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54229018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes0c310,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c299,999$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.1110012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes0c260,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1604314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes1c250,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002532%8 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes1c245,333$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes0c233,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014029.3%41 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb3…1109backed Yes0c227,186$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.192828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c225,617$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x608b…fbd6backed Yes1c216,667$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes0c213,785$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.772,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes0c205,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72011230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes1c200,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Yes0c200,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…635fbacked Yes0c199,167$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes0c198,030$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes0c190,100$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91b…fb62backed Yes1c190,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes0c184,034$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.1951228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked Yes0c183,750$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed Yes0c175,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee09…8e27backed Yes0c173,614$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes1c170,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0206127.9%17 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed Yes1c166,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-82.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes1c166,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes1c166,666$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.33224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-70.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d26…791dbacked Yes1c162,936$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.681030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a4…895bbacked Yes0c160,393$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.182737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Yes1c160,000$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9853630.6%11 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes1c155,555$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.332711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2070…ed53backed Yes0c150,000$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5754429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd396…4991backed Yes0c129,999$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes0c126,900$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.84731.9%15 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba3c…2e4ebacked Yes0c125,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick3cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes0c120,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes1c120,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64046464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x975e…2787backed Yes1c116,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes0c115,898$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes0c110,000$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.58822.7%20 W · 68 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes0c107,423$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.853531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc644…9badbacked Yes0c107,250$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4292020%4 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes0c103,082$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7813533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes1c100,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3c…763abacked Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes1c100,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3c…5dc4backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003522.9%8 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes1c100,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes0c100,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4608731%27 W · 60 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2736…4f36backed Yes1c100,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…4378backed Yes1c100,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes0c98,412$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.824524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Yes0c94,166$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.676322.2%14 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcac5…9547backed Yes1c90,583$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa6…401cbacked Yes0c88,638$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b7…0edabacked Yes0c87,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f0…76f1backed Yes1c85,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7401…47a5backed Yes1c84,833$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866b…1bcdbacked Yes1c83,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2260…44f6backed Yes1c81,868$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2180%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xded1…83b3backed Yes0c79,167$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22560%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b1…fb16backed Yes0c71,695$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe451…020bbacked Yes1c71,167$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes1c69,577$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8923640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes1c67,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40512517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…7e84backed Yes1c66,667$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.