Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51e8c8df709aa78f64d2d9324d9d2556270f81e3966ade308099e5338bb4e4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,615,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,497,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,615,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 10,721,395$10,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,721.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 0c | 2,227,746$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.49 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,049,230$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.23 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0d36backed Yes | 0c | 777,365$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 700,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 595,995$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.99 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 0c | 525,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes | 0c | 318,532$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.53 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…479fbacked Yes | 0c | 232,230$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…2548backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…e19bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 82,718$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…b572backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 71,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…95cebacked Yes | 0c | 69,656$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…fd6bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…17eebacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…6371backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2991…f125backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…703ebacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 40,020$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 0c | 35,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…76e6backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe600…db98backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbede…baecbacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386a…f99fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,361$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…99d5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…b061backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…04f3backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fde…c928backed Yes | 0c | 18,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 16,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 0c | 16,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,712$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…2355backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…5725backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,030$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4146backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 145 | 12.4%18 W · 127 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…3739backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5790…39c9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…6bc3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc863…f2a8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…3fabbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…7a43backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…cfedbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…ae7cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -85%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…5f8bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…542bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…5c51backed Yes | 0c | 8,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 0c | 7,444$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…ac63backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1a3abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…f817backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.