TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,254,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,038,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,254,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,072 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x482b…3266backed Yes3c10,624,254$279,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279,254.78224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-70.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes1c7,099,487$103,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,315.49306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes2c4,948,016$83,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,831.041625%4 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Yes2c2,624,841$63,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,330.15238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes2c2,519,861$46,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,946.1210012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes2c2,187,371$44,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,818.7516927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c1,572,939$39,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,931.82,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1e…62c5backed Yes2c1,559,211$32,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,297.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes2c1,405,548$22,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,683.511529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c1,320,214$31,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,853.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d0…a200backed Yes2c1,178,721$19,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,020.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes2c1,128,825$17,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,673.5413122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…a8a8backed Yes2c1,124,350$22,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,310.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe002…0202backed Yes2c1,075,926$25,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,065.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c1,065,105$28,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,033.7379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab8…2006backed Yes2c1,012,573$19,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,033.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…f1a8backed Yes2c1,009,978$16,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,010.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Yes2c1,000,360$16,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,939.376253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c941,396$4,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.2526330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Yes2c867,054$13,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,005.813759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes2c808,272$16,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,765.685451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1060…501dbacked Yes2c799,282$19,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,25410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…78f1backed Yes3c767,229$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd453…80acbacked Yes3c752,242$22,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,525.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes3c749,999$18,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,749.9715552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81ef…47f7backed Yes3c741,780$20,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,263.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked Yes1c700,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes2c671,183$13,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,531.5514553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c663,172$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.9732629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes3c647,521$18,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,904.254524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd7…560abacked Yes2c640,983$9,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,614.75425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes2c607,132$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0005236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes2c605,330$9,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,232.939723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes2c605,279$11,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,526.69478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes3c595,990$17,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,466.948521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes2c557,716$8,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,666.335014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06b6…09cebacked Yes2c517,685$10,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,550.2490%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes1c516,500$6,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.56113.1%8 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…866dbacked Yes2c503,592$8,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,485.4650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Yes3c500,000$14,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,066.67156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-82%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes2c493,369$8,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,566.25214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681b…2f73backed Yes2c493,092$8,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,816.0290%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc891…dcfebacked Yes2c490,080$7,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,892.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-60.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd581…2b59backed Yes4c484,379$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe617…f251backed Yes2c484,298$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+93.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x594f…4295backed Yes2c472,290$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,160.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes2c444,509$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Yes2c440,872$7,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,354.877843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e34…9cd8backed Yes2c440,548$6,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,608.2140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes2c431,395$7,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,382.47348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8773…a99dbacked Yes2c429,711$6,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,875.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes1c418,763$5,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.397413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes2c418,694$6,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8417632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes2c406,245$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0002722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a3…8510backed Yes2c403,041$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes2c400,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5006627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes2c393,389$8,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,261.1622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a7…3362backed Yes3c388,569$11,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,062.196038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes2c376,204$7,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,814.1214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes2c364,741$6,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,950.316426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3069…83cdbacked Yes2c363,618$7,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,985.125632.1%18 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes2c360,427$7,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,913.97229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34d9…c8b1backed Yes2c360,152$7,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,973.39911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10b…8ec6backed Yes2c358,240$8,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,394.831513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes2c356,505$7,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,688.976716.4%11 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes2c350,000$6,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,388.891197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc26…15f9backed Yes2c349,539$5,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,916.6175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x952d…5256backed Yes2c348,728$5,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,247.9950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…d7aabacked Yes2c344,847$5,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,517.552948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…401fbacked Yes3c344,828$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes2c339,643$6,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,513.96417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes2c335,992$6,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,117.910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes2c333,261$5,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.4119062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes2c332,789$6,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,33517919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa631…8621backed Yes2c312,563$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes1c310,000$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05330214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes2c308,254$6,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,104.572714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…74a9backed Yes2c302,508$7,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,042.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes2c296,086$6,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,083.219929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes2c294,533$7,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1507032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes2c289,563$5,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,401.251228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes2c282,500$6,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,407.54535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc931…c416backed Yes1c271,604$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,057.711315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…822bbacked Yes2c269,972$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes1c268,721$3,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.55254%1 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes2c267,294$5,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,733.954961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ac…d715backed Yes3c263,000$8,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,590.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes2c259,289$4,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.63613.9%5 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Yes1c255,687$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.947653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Yes2c255,487$6,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,351.242425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…8b3abacked Yes3c254,631$6,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,766.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb013…6b3abacked Yes2c253,344$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.21195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes2c250,000$4,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,224.97444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes3c240,191$6,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,624.717924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ee…9024backed Yes2c240,029$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.760%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a48…1ce7backed Yes2c239,414$5,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,809.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb09d…64c8backed Yes2c235,000$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x115a…e4a6backed Yes2c231,953$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,701.24180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes2c227,999$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,135.984314%6 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aae…319cbacked Yes2c220,588$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.