TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,082,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,617,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,082,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c2,907,742$5,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,815.489819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c2,174,763$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.76120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c1,264,821$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.643636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c1,028,274$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.27110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c861,289$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.581705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c625,417$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.42147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c554,997$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4947…eeafbacked Yes0c392,392$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.8140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c391,309$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.31128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9465…4f4cbacked Yes0c274,495$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3b…ca64backed Yes0c266,445$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c7…8381backed Yes0c264,336$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c260,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8d…15f2backed Yes0c258,710$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8cb…2c99backed Yes0c257,872$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…7d68backed Yes0c256,958$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…f1c2backed Yes0c254,070$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9d…52c0backed Yes0c253,801$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5951…66a9backed Yes0c252,823$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d42…acf9backed Yes0c251,685$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf0…39febacked Yes0c249,261$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed6d…692cbacked Yes0c249,010$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe1…46b3backed Yes0c245,910$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8293…ad4ebacked Yes0c242,716$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6062…ba00backed Yes0c241,079$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x037c…ac80backed Yes0c229,499$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes0c213,000$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c166,000$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c145,457$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9112711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d8…7853backed Yes0c122,200$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c114,667$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.27210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x185c…80a4backed Yes0c111,510$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.512913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dd…17eebacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100254%1 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-87.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes0c99,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…4651backed Yes0c97,550$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.55250%0 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c80,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…8c78backed Yes0c70,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f4a8backed Yes0c65,082$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…40aabacked Yes0c56,322$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.32130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb33…3615backed Yes0c50,403$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x326c…c5b3backed Yes0c50,095$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2991…f125backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50400%0 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd396…4991backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…396bbacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7818…d185backed Yes0c49,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+380.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ae…ec96backed Yes0c46,713$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.431586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+55.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa499…3d72backed Yes0c45,670$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f7…1e0dbacked Yes0c44,120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes0c44,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73290%0 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c43,326$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.33392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c37,443$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…76e6backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b9…1951backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec4a…0375backed Yes0c22,942$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ed…76cabacked Yes0c22,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…0032backed Yes0c22,323$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…5ecbbacked Yes0c22,102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe409…4c39backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe192…c237backed Yes0c21,321$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf940…7736backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c7…2091backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20380%0 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7b…bd5dbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…4419backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes0c19,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5593.4%2 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed6…5adabacked Yes0c18,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b65…d05dbacked Yes0c17,745$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…b0dabacked Yes0c17,634$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb645…b548backed Yes0c17,551$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb790…16e5backed Yes0c17,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…357abacked Yes0c16,817$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab47…3307backed Yes0c16,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e42…1d26backed Yes0c15,916$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Yes0c15,712$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.712828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad0…2355backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fe…dc67backed Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…05e8backed Yes0c13,333$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.676136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes0c12,500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5270%0 W · 27 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f6…e764backed Yes0c12,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4089…99d5backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114512.4%18 W · 127 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5267…f0adbacked Yes0c10,441$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafd…1edebacked Yes0c10,428$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes0c10,043$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10280%0 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f44…bc79backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ca…3739backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.