TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,271,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,281,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,271,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c8,366,568$8,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,377.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c2,298,688$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.69740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c1,265,287$3,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,795.862015%3 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-74.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes0c1,198,317$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.63395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…2f73backed Yes0c1,100,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes0c1,087,860$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.865712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Yes0c1,000,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c981,532$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.53120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c970,402$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.551705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c949,384$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.38147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes0c894,820$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.8230220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes0c680,950$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a55…359cbacked Yes0c650,861$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.77812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick3cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes0c641,996$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.849723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c549,987$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.99352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes0c516,792$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.792516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4beb…fcdabacked Yes0c500,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c499,152$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.15110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb7…2ec3backed Yes0c474,000$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c410,774$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.7732629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes0c350,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503818.4%7 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes0c342,494$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.999819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes0c290,060$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.063613.9%5 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3e9…3cbbbacked Yes0c284,802$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c253,213$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.432825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d09…143fbacked Yes0c249,322$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.6430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Yes0c210,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-73.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c210,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes0c200,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d0…c5dfbacked Yes0c192,630$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ed…6f16backed Yes0c175,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes0c168,696$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.76317.5%11 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes0c150,234$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.23329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8078backed Yes0c150,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…d0abbacked Yes0c144,340$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.342429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…871ebacked Yes0c139,560$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3285…05aebacked Yes0c129,998$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.99185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c127,228$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.36130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f9…32b0backed Yes0c125,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e25…57c7backed Yes0c122,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb2…3aabbacked Yes0c114,813$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae03…45b9backed Yes0c113,750$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes0c111,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad5…ffe8backed Yes0c108,341$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46df…bdfdbacked Yes0c106,997$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf737…c295backed Yes0c106,379$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9a…91d1backed Yes0c106,130$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…2dafbacked Yes0c105,589$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb487…7a66backed Yes0c105,232$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250e…4be0backed Yes0c105,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f8…1ea5backed Yes0c104,740$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a8…e021backed Yes0c104,597$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0052…3af4backed Yes0c104,251$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf7…86ebbacked Yes0c104,122$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb855…f990backed Yes0c103,998$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1c…bcdfbacked Yes0c103,609$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c102,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4682…4d40backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-95.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb721…24f0backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-81.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7627…6b72backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-84.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8e…172dbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c17…2fe5backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa136…1e6ebacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d2…22fbbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…4419backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c100,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…bdffbacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes0c98,333$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2953414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes0c96,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c95,203$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c93,270$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5412711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c92,000$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a4…29fdbacked Yes0c87,295$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc1…6127backed Yes0c82,075$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c0…8004backed Yes0c81,957$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd657…5219backed Yes0c81,512$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes0c75,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9339…cd96backed Yes0c72,257$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes0c67,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355320.8%11 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x301b…e9d6backed Yes0c65,993$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4284…9f44backed Yes0c65,304$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0705…1175backed Yes0c61,667$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf919…5502backed Yes0c60,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc388…547ebacked Yes0c60,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…b55fbacked Yes0c58,780$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.782218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes0c58,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5845820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccb…d731backed Yes0c57,500$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055b…c60cbacked Yes0c54,990$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.