Fifa International · resolved market
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x106ccc4508432a065a67394837d4c2c529a8d77ed69fa3ba90b81eedf5236598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,684,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,543,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,684,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 5,384,300$52,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,539.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,408,158$21,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,425.9 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,211,023$20,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,465.99 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Yes | 0c | 2,627,731$13,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,010.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 1c | 1,750,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…75b6backed Yes | 0c | 1,488,797$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 1c | 949,994$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.96 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…8237backed Yes | 1c | 871,692$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 1c | 862,571$8,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,207.81 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 1c | 691,716$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.09 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2473…ea96backed Yes | 1c | 640,741$5,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…877bbacked Yes | 1c | 577,799$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 1c | 550,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Yes | 1c | 504,808$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 1c | 500,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…9133backed Yes | 1c | 500,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes | 1c | 500,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…89f6backed Yes | 1c | 483,300$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 1c | 450,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Yes | 1c | 448,084$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a8…bdd7backed Yes | 1c | 441,978$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…d931backed Yes | 1c | 437,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 1c | 425,758$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 1c | 407,143$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 1c | 387,710$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.82 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc7…1071backed Yes | 1c | 378,820$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 375,000$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 365,893$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…5537backed Yes | 1c | 361,161$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…fbb7backed Yes | 1c | 356,406$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…667abacked Yes | 1c | 335,282$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.43 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…87d5backed Yes | 1c | 305,725$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 1c | 305,043$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…d35cbacked Yes | 1c | 297,127$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…1d19backed Yes | 1c | 292,000$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 1c | 282,439$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 275,553$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.66 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…b1febacked Yes | 1c | 268,415$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…f6aebacked Yes | 1c | 257,379$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…99c6backed Yes | 1c | 252,340$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…605abacked Yes | 1c | 243,920$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…48a8backed Yes | 1c | 233,486$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.9 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 1c | 231,088$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.57 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…aa61backed Yes | 1c | 224,776$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yes | 1c | 222,083$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes | 1c | 214,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 0c | 210,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 1c | 195,500$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.5 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…d8d0backed Yes | 1c | 193,150$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 191,288$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.56 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 1c | 190,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yes | 1c | 189,852$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.37 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…31f2backed Yes | 1c | 186,634$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…65c4backed Yes | 1c | 180,808$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 1c | 179,765$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6821…f021backed Yes | 1c | 178,308$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…7e0bbacked Yes | 1c | 171,509$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…63d2backed Yes | 1c | 171,039$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…6f7dbacked Yes | 1c | 168,435$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 166,278$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…15bdbacked Yes | 1c | 165,479$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…03e7backed Yes | 0c | 164,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 1c | 162,895$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.09 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…9535backed Yes | 1c | 160,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…7de6backed Yes | 1c | 157,063$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…a9a3backed Yes | 1c | 156,428$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…9d2ebacked Yes | 1c | 156,278$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 1c | 154,000$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 1c | 148,642$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.49 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Yes | 1c | 145,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8c…e343backed Yes | 1c | 142,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606a…7eddbacked Yes | 1c | 140,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 1c | 140,000$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…eb86backed Yes | 1c | 140,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 1c | 135,728$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.47 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 1c | 133,076$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 125,128$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.21 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…6367backed Yes | 1c | 124,618$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 0c | 120,528$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…7887backed Yes | 1c | 118,554$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 0c | 117,147$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 1c | 114,814$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.14 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…2061backed Yes | 1c | 112,392$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 1c | 110,515$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 1c | 108,123$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.9 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…05bebacked Yes | 1c | 107,147$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…36d9backed Yes | 1c | 107,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…6066backed Yes | 1c | 104,008$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…d79ebacked Yes | 1c | 103,305$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…6f45backed Yes | 1c | 101,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 1c | 100,176$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…d854backed Yes | 2c | 100,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c6…2c1cbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…74dbbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.