Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65307f30dce84ac35e41813035d3c04933da830dc4efbbb2fcdc4b282700ef3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,521,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,282,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,521,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 0c | 20,022,805$63,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,751.54 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 0c | 6,497,955$21,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,474.96 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 4,701,243$8,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,103.73 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Yes | 0c | 2,629,851$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 2,435,286$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.29 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 0c | 2,000,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,958,952$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.86 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 0c | 1,691,683$6,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,766.73 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…b8d0backed Yes | 0c | 1,606,037$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,500,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 0c | 1,111,111$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.44 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…c003backed Yes | 0c | 1,029,695$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…9f92backed Yes | 0c | 1,024,160$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…b251backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 997,706$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.08 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a953backed Yes | 0c | 997,667$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 0c | 856,431$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 0c | 768,740$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.22 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 684,923$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.92 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes | 0c | 666,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…5c5ebacked Yes | 0c | 665,211$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…fc58backed Yes | 0c | 654,089$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.36 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 0c | 600,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 0c | 566,667$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 549,898$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.69 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…7e35backed Yes | 0c | 501,000$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 1c | 500,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…794ebacked Yes | 0c | 480,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 0c | 471,474$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.9 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6270…9ce7backed Yes | 0c | 464,608$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…ce87backed Yes | 0c | 426,894$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 0c | 417,303$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.91 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 0c | 405,542$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.64 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…a9d6backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…2caabacked Yes | 0c | 393,324$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.75 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 0c | 387,050$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ea…773abacked Yes | 0c | 380,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…900ebacked Yes | 0c | 379,782$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 355,970$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…b910backed Yes | 0c | 351,333$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…f04dbacked Yes | 0c | 344,686$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…dd88backed Yes | 0c | 333,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7260…96c3backed Yes | 0c | 333,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…47c8backed Yes | 0c | 332,701$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 0c | 330,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +380.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee3…9c77backed Yes | 0c | 322,207$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…ff77backed Yes | 0c | 319,746$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 314,996$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 1c | 300,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…1d5fbacked Yes | 0c | 275,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…8356backed Yes | 0c | 274,999$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 270,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 0c | 269,998$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.5 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9b…e829backed Yes | 0c | 257,220$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…8be4backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 0c | 248,700$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.6 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 1c | 240,500$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…8bf3backed Yes | 0c | 240,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 0c | 240,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 1c | 239,473$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.39 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 225,914$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.61 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Yes | 0c | 211,108$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ad…ff74backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3f…9560backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…a32bbacked Yes | 0c | 192,536$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…b911backed Yes | 0c | 181,233$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 0c | 180,396$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.19 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 177,777$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…3d8fbacked Yes | 1c | 172,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 0c | 169,167$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…ed7dbacked Yes | 0c | 166,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes | 0c | 166,529$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 0c | 162,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…45c3backed Yes | 0c | 161,773$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 1c | 160,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…ded8backed Yes | 0c | 160,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Yes | 1c | 155,616$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 152,771$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 1c | 152,614$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 151,844$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.42 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Yes | 1c | 150,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 0c | 147,160$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.64 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 0c | 146,655$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.72 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…b0ffbacked Yes | 0c | 139,480$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…36d7backed Yes | 0c | 135,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Yes | 1c | 133,750$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0569backed Yes | 1c | 128,205$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.01 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1017backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8078backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.