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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,943,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,869,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,943,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes0c5,707,340$16,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,414.4306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c5,616,358$7,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,732.721529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b6…6b38backed Yes0c4,000,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes0c3,780,195$9,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,776.523933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed Yes0c2,651,069$10,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,218.619723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes0c1,700,480$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.443324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2149…c8ddbacked Yes0c1,610,230$4,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,830.691225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes0c1,500,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c1,366,118$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.26260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed Yes0c995,005$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,980.023315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aae…319cbacked Yes0c855,843$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.53110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c839,600$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.94478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…f754backed Yes0c718,000$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4beb…fcdabacked Yes0c666,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c622,121$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.4510012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes0c600,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-78.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes0c566,667$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd804…832dbacked Yes1c536,840$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes0c484,762$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.29395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c468,875$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.6226330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes0c400,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes0c393,500$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.52313%3 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes0c340,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-74.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed Yes0c333,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-82.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…7061backed Yes0c323,287$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.86234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-85%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7578…6426backed Yes0c300,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007335.6%26 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c261,820$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.29392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c248,919$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9232629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes0c208,333$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6255026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes0c199,999$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d2…94a9backed Yes0c166,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c159,646$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes0c150,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c150,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Yes0c150,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes0c149,999$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17a8…e61fbacked Yes1c146,596$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.9850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c137,876$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.48210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1051…0b63backed Yes0c130,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c116,791$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.371705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Yes0c109,237$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.467342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+75.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c103,999$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2759516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9261backed Yes1c100,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8005…16eabacked Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd569…d4ddbacked Yes0c95,120$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes0c84,999$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes1c84,400$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4229334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a3…f185backed Yes0c80,027$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.08130%0 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes0c80,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes1c80,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c35…f12ebacked Yes0c77,000$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-59.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c75,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes0c70,617$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.857413.5%10 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa29…7813backed Yes0c66,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642f…5933backed Yes0c66,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+132.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…8e38backed Yes0c66,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8833backed Yes0c66,070$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2150%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes0c62,269$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8851228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7169…3139backed Yes0c62,000$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc712…6efabacked Yes0c62,000$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9722…18d1backed Yes0c61,972$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9450%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe023…61a6backed Yes0c60,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce85…e292backed Yes0c54,437$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+187.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36fd…b70cbacked Yes0c53,580$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d45…7cb9backed Yes0c52,793$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes0c50,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x748a…3c56backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ea…3201backed Yes0c50,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504719.1%9 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1216…2068backed Yes0c50,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-70.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cb1…233abacked Yes0c43,000$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4b…525fbacked Yes0c41,290$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5702…c5a7backed Yes0c41,070$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.21280%0 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe07f…1074backed Yes0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3416…0c7cbacked Yes0c40,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Yes0c39,882$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.652917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2e…9061backed Yes0c38,510$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.85175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155f…660ebacked Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6700…acfebacked Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006615.2%10 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd952…6abbbacked Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes0c33,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa11d…f795backed Yes0c32,667$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes0c32,300$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.934551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x020c…82cabacked Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81f…7556backed Yes0c25,317$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes0c25,070$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.28917.7%7 W · 84 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b13…5957backed Yes0c25,038$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c0…7aedbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c25,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986b…1cc2backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes0c25,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758528.2%24 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c25,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c23,482$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.451,06849.2%525 W · 543 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c90…6367backed Yes0c23,333$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.