Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a26ca6425e2d98f14935670bc22cdb0744defc6f6d83c65f8c413a921c5c70c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,837,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,467,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,837,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,987,074$116,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,089.24 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 1c | 5,990,715$50,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,445 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,189,466$53,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,504.62 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 1c | 4,335,860$36,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,197.94 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 3,894,307$32,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,986.97 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,764,516$39,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,425.45 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,264,894$25,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,759.79 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,014,557$16,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,915.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 1c | 2,000,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 1,968,308$22,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,692.85 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 1c | 1,721,459$14,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,178.13 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 1,491,863$17,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,343.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 1c | 1,257,578$11,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,150.63 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…e2f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,214,310$14,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,362.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,204,795$13,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,672.98 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 2c | 1,017,503$22,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,385.07 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$9,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929.77 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 990,130$8,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,776.04 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 1c | 951,504$10,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,168.92 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 1c | 944,972$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500.45 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Yes | 1c | 924,490$12,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,942.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 1c | 887,020$8,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,962.08 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 1c | 886,300$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.2 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…308fbacked Yes | 1c | 856,394$9,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,663.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…885abacked Yes | 1c | 817,926$9,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,551.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 2c | 793,572$14,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,334.28 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 1c | 788,419$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795.77 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 1c | 779,378$9,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,952.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 762,699$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,009.07 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 2c | 758,719$12,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,915.18 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…8510backed Yes | 1c | 742,283$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 713,782$5,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,928.21 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 1c | 706,505$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,730.38 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 1c | 689,691$6,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980.66 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 632,723$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.5 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 1c | 628,668$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.26 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…1d32backed Yes | 1c | 600,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 1c | 526,571$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.8 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked Yes | 1c | 499,777$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +226.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 1c | 490,851$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.8 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 1c | 490,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 1c | 485,368$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.21 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 1c | 455,862$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.81 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…64c8backed Yes | 1c | 450,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…c64bbacked Yes | 1c | 442,875$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.69 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 1c | 428,571$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…e4a6backed Yes | 1c | 425,752$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.27 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 1c | 414,999$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.99 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 1c | 410,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 1c | 404,500$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 1c | 400,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.01 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…28d6backed Yes | 1c | 400,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…2bb9backed Yes | 1c | 400,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 1c | 400,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 1c | 385,371$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Yes | 1c | 378,241$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 1c | 371,468$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.61 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 1c | 370,000$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 1c | 353,719$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.91 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…0938backed Yes | 1c | 346,964$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 1c | 344,099$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.69 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 2c | 333,333$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 1c | 331,280$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.02 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…f8a5backed Yes | 1c | 323,638$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 317,970$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.22 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…cad4backed Yes | 2c | 310,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4170…32edbacked Yes | 1c | 309,485$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 304,656$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 1c | 300,301$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.01 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…c416backed Yes | 1c | 300,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Yes | 1c | 293,299$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed Yes | 1c | 292,984$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.07 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…319cbacked Yes | 1c | 290,194$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes | 1c | 277,000$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…9176backed Yes | 1c | 272,727$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…2612backed Yes | 1c | 267,911$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…75fdbacked Yes | 1c | 267,200$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 1c | 266,106$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 1c | 252,895$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.21 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…a837backed Yes | 2c | 240,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 1c | 240,000$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 1c | 239,028$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.37 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 2c | 237,493$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…4461backed Yes | 1c | 234,949$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…8488backed Yes | 1c | 234,444$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…b541backed Yes | 1c | 231,246$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked Yes | 1c | 228,778$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 2c | 223,708$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.92 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 214,693$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.07 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 213,955$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.22 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yes | 1c | 212,692$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.75 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 2c | 212,530$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.48 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 1c | 207,500$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 1c | 205,455$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…57c7backed Yes | 2c | 202,665$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.58 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…0c80backed Yes | 1c | 202,069$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 1c | 201,756$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Yes | 2c | 200,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.