TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3886…a93d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20344.8%91 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.69
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+434.8%+$69.11
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$328.14
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$612
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$262
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164.15
France vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$149.69
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$47.31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$284
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.49
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,304.96
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$336
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.8
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.5
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.42
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+84%+$68.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$132.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.