Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f83890e325bb4c7345346f6a259ce65aebd925a9a1042bde732e48507e162e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 74c | 6,604$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 4,345$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.72 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 3,696$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.33 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,415$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.85 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 74c | 2,769$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 2,545$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 1c | 2,021$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 4c | 1,588$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,346$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.55 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 26c | 1,019$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.65 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 1,014$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.66 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 980.87$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 27c | 845.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 774.74$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 74c | 697.49$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 630.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 75c | 492.3$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 451.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 435.32$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 74c | 432.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 293.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 73c | 288.4$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 280.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 256$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 15c | 229$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 5c | 203.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…a93dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 76c | 173.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 12c | 171.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 153.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes | 14c | 145.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 12c | 136.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 18c | 127.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 16c | 125.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked No | 74c | 124.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 26c | 123.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…77d1backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 11c | 112.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 111.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 77c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 93.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 28c | 92.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 28c | 91.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ccb6backed Yes | 31c | 88.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 71c | 87.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 75c | 86.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc768…d748backed Yes | 30c | 86.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 25c | 83.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed No | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 74c | 81.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 78cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…c677backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 24c | 65.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 28c | 61.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 75c | 61.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Yes | 26c | 54.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 74c | 47.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 23c | 46.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 44.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 23c | 44.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 23c | 44.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 32.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 30.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 72c | 26.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 72c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked No | 74c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 77c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.