Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d4e9c0ac1d87b50896c86a8a947c19a9edb3f5024e62fa5d1d7a902d6d48617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 4,745$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.77 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 2,749$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.73 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 67c | 2,702$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.71 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 9c | 1,791$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.73 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 1,603$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.56 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 1,564$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.43 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 5c | 1,116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked No | 3c | 868.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 684$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.32 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 684$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.32 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 684$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.32 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 3c | 674.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 572.31$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 533.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 477.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.66 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 474.03$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.04 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 60c | 469$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.42 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 27c | 380$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 350.13$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.09 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 40c | 328$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 74c | 288.42$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 285.59$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 74c | 255.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 60c | 238.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 227.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 10c | 205$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 40c | 182$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 77c | 165$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Yes | 66c | 151.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 148$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Yes | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 136.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 120.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…2c54backed Yes | 68c | 118.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 78c | 101.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 73c | 92.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 73c | 81.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 58c | 79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 73c | 78.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 77c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0d…8e47backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 62.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 52.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 73c | 49.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Yes | 68c | 41.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…4d68backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 73c | 34.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 71c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…bea1backed Yes | 72c | 27.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 73c | 27.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 51c | 24.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…fd02backed No | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-22?No won
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.