TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3de4…b032backed No38c86,680$32,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,729.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes61c59,058$36,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,318.454254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No38c40,765$15,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,274.276940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes62c31,523$19,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,5444070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes61c29,241$17,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,836.762634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No39c25,145$9,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,338.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c23,697$14,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,806.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes62c23,548$14,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,660.322544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes62c20,095$12,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,458.77546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff2…da71backed No38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,400250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes62c19,349$11,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,996.113348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c16,864$10,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,455.832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No64c15,989$10,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c14,192$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.6996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No38c13,605$5,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,471.155641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes62c10,245$6,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,351.82240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c9,598$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,857.740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c8,985$5,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,551.4948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No38c8,022$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No39c8,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,919.8722551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes62c7,919$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,885.065154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No38c6,191$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes50c5,489$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.8610451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No37c5,074$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick39cpaid+86.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1502835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e3…0da5backed Yes63c4,389$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c4,273$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.9749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No59c4,188$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.2819952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No65c4,092$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.273852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes63c3,911$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.0624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes53c3,701$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.281353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c3,600$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.0193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No38c3,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1706365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes62c3,437$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.9133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c3,229$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.8898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes32c2,998$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.23237.5%12 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No38c2,534$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.88966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No38c2,525$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.72429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No68c2,233$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.7415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No68c2,233$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.4314752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67a…573fbacked Yes63c2,036$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.955160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No38c1,911$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes49c1,800$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.15955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes62c1,781$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.997045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…36a7backed Yes62c1,725$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f0…17cfbacked Yes62c1,645$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes21c1,570$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.44244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes22c1,522$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8912731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes35c1,520$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.39742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No38c1,444$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.41560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes42c1,417$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.424641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No58c1,342$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.6319154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes29c1,304$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.082927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No39c1,203$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.129950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c1,176$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.5242347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes40c1,167$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.683452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6741…9f3fbacked Yes62c1,103$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c1,083$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.2535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No39c1,070$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.9114651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No79c1,035$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.094746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c1,020$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6205666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6206369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6106836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.998342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x616d…bf7dbacked Yes62c977.2$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes20c971.65$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes39c969.53$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No51c956.82$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.5811346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes62c954.96$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.083040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No51c949.3$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.145054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes47c944.34$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c910.31$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No38c900$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5586666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No38c843.96$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.35076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No73c808.6$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.322673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38c0…f3e8backed Yes44c792.45$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes62c788.06$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.68033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes63c776.03$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.92240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes64c766.64$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.651513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-73.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No38c765.07$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.354971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes43c759.15$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.442941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes42c729.99$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.48229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes33c720.45$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4311053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed No72c684.57$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.365525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c651.03$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.816032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No37c650.14$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.595271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes37c632.85$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.656155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No39c626.21$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.998941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes59c621.85$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes63c620.83$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No38c600$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No38c573.67$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.681190.9%10 W · 1 L+6.1wins+0.56per pick35cpaid+161.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes62c551.65$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.023953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.65935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c547.84$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.051,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c545.89$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4518951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.