Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe531dd7fe858c953591cf8f762eb10f06b5b2978db94f83b1b221e4d4851452a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Virtus Bologna, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Virtus Bologna | 10c | 2,096$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus Bologna | 15c | 1,844$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 1,360$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.96 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed Valencia | 63c | 1,239$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Valencia | 70c | 998.27$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Virtus Bologna | 9c | 954.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Valencia | 67c | 945.22$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Virtus Bologna | 32c | 646.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virtus Bologna | 30c | 625.68$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valencia | 78c | 575.07$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Virtus Bologna | 12c | 527.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…760bbacked Virtus Bologna | 39c | 490.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 397.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Virtus Bologna | 31c | 391.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Virtus Bologna | 30c | 383.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valencia | 77c | 376.3$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 340.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 319.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Valencia | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Valencia | 75c | 299.17$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Valencia | 69c | 298.51$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Valencia | 67c | 289.32$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Valencia | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Valencia | 59c | 250.07$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Virtus Bologna | 31c | 224.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Virtus Bologna | 30c | 183.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…b68ebacked Virtus Bologna | 15c | 164.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Valencia | 67c | 126.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus Bologna | 27c | 111.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…4326backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 102.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…f598backed Valencia | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 97.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Virtus Bologna | 14c | 94.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virtus Bologna | 28c | 90.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Valencia | 66c | 87.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virtus Bologna | 29c | 82.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Valencia | 69c | 80.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Virtus Bologna | 28c | 77.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Valencia | 68c | 72.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Virtus Bologna | 37c | 69.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Valencia | 67c | 66.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus Bologna | 20c | 66.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 64.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…3e62backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 64.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…0a3bbacked Virtus Bologna | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Virtus Bologna | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 54.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…21f4backed Valencia | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6431backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 48.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Virtus Bologna | 28c | 46.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Valencia | 70c | 39.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…2523backed Valencia | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valencia | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…e828backed Valencia | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Valencia | 72c | 25.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Valencia | 68c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…6e64backed Valencia | 72c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Virtus Bologna | 54c | 21.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…9f69backed Valencia | 76c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…0dbabacked Valencia | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…a93dbacked Valencia | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.