South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd74f50fb1a68869222fe00dbe739d25b1a12c0517e9128d0b3d67bc298fdb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 6,750$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 6,479$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.62 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 5,735$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 27c | 5,489$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.32 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 18c | 4,220$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.58 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 77c | 3,612$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.31 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 2,137$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 76c | 2,020$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.71 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 34c | 1,908$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.39 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 1,818$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.82 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 73c | 1,722$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 75c | 1,520$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,237$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 19c | 1,096$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 77c | 873.03$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 643.05$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 620.53$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.93 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 615.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked No | 23c | 556.59$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 37c | 490.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.89 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 488.78$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.92 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 18c | 421$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 397.23$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 56c | 348.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 23c | 346.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Yes | 54c | 340$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 73c | 323.6$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Yes | 25c | 316.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 68c | 309.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…8ce4backed No | 74c | 279.81$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 19c | 262.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 21c | 259.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 239.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 219.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 28c | 183.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed No | 24c | 178.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 70c | 177$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 26c | 167.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Yes | 17c | 143.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes | 75c | 133.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed No | 74c | 126.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 19c | 124.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 29c | 116.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…e74fbacked No | 74c | 114.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 110.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 27c | 109.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 29c | 103.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 103.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…a93dbacked Yes | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 72c | 87.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 50c | 86.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…eacabacked Yes | 71c | 86.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 32c | 85.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 73c | 84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 35c | 79.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 72c | 68.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Yes | 47c | 63.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 73c | 59.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 68c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 29c | 51.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e65…cfb7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed No | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 65c | 44.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed No | 31c | 42.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…370fbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 39.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 72c | 38.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…bea1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 72c | 36.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 36c | 30.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed No | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 80c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?No won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.