TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f14…29d1backed Yes14c4,190$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.993935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c3,926$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.858,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c2,879$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0628940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes20c2,232$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.926339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf1…7ea7backed No80c1,877$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No78c1,820$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes14c1,704$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.559920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes22c1,409$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.988643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c1,261$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.161,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05d…4cbabacked No79c1,253$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes25c1,243$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.782,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No78c1,120$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes7c1,029$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No78c1,025$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5814530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes24c999.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes22c970.3$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes11c902.66$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.551,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c899.28$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.451,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes16c786.75$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8926835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes13c759.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.817925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes6c714.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.867723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…c687backed Yes9c690.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.422520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed No78c660.26$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.26825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed No76c657.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.897100%7 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c622.23$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.131,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes5c571.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c528.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.163,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes3c486.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.891,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes6c470.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.656412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes23c457.35$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.191118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+36.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cb1…4557backed Yes7c418.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Yes6c416.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No76c401$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3212737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes11c394$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.056232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No80c372.21$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.923,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c1…017ebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes19c355.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes7c307.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5412434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes23c307.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f1…be41backed Yes6c301.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes13c284.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes18c274.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e0…625ebacked Yes25c270.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes18c250$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.518631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes17c198.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No77c179.13$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.92650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c176.7$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.361,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed No79c170$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No72c144$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4089846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes14c141.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes20c129.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.961,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed No76c124.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c9…e829backed Yes23c121.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes14c117.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.673743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x214e…dbd2backed Yes27c113.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+462.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes12c107.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204045%18 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.121,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes12c94.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed No78c91.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.027160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da6…b511backed Yes23c85.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes14c84.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1818557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e65…cfb7backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No78c66.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.594163.4%26 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791989.5%17 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd11…bf1dbacked Yes18c65.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No75c63.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8915651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…d5fdbacked No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291070%7 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No75c61.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.229054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes23c61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.360%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes23c45.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.422347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed No74c40.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.533063.3%19 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick77cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0d6…8704backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.625345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No76c31.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.516751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.715143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No79c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.886561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.982462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed No75c25.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.363756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No78c24.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2719164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7219150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed No76c19.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.694461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed No74c17.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.574872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed No79c15.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.211060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.