TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahce

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maccabi Tel Avivof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Fenerbahce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,956 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv46c12,923$5,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,026.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fenerbahce42c7,153$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99054251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Fenerbahce45c5,151$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Fenerbahce59c5,085$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Fenerbahce60c4,785$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8811631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Maccabi Tel Aviv45c4,461$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.73345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Fenerbahce30c3,098$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv41c2,415$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.6612042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Fenerbahce49c2,257$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.533455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Maccabi Tel Aviv52c2,003$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.6237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Fenerbahce59c1,757$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.5310634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Fenerbahce59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c1,594$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.731446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Fenerbahce14c1,567$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2183040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Fenerbahce19c1,491$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Fenerbahce58c1,251$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.621855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv64c1,131$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.1826544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv69c1,094$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.547646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Fenerbahce27c1,070$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8626935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Fenerbahce23c1,065$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.043053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv68c1,031$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.596940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…e4cabacked Fenerbahce20c999.7$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Maccabi Tel Aviv70c980.47$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.929551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c949.14$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Fenerbahce57c889.75$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.162454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c713.36$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3728943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Fenerbahce19c700$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maccabi Tel Aviv68c677.01$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9243543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv62c663.61$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Fenerbahce18c648.53$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Fenerbahce60c647$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0911455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Fenerbahce58c617.86$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6321444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv64c585$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed Fenerbahce17c581.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Fenerbahce35c574.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Fenerbahce59c565.83$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.842352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked Fenerbahce23c538.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.144050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Fenerbahce27c509.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Fenerbahce62c443.58$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c439.52$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.912055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c380.79$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…b68ebacked Fenerbahce22c376.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.15520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c375.85$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.656929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Fenerbahce24c356.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875050%25 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv56c348.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv61c342.38$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5335234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fenerbahce55c335.13$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.887741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57eb…beeabacked Fenerbahce47c314.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fenerbahce52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15624430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Fenerbahce43c299.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Fenerbahce57c257.82$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8813147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c249.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.458845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Fenerbahce31c246.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed9…8bdcbacked Fenerbahce59c238.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Fenerbahce60c234.73$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.848247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv67c229.93$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv42c228.69$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab15…7eacbacked Fenerbahce61c228.09$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+100.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv41c225.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7127557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c203.08$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.879851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c200.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.681442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Fenerbahce59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Fenerbahce18c199.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b14…054abacked Fenerbahce31c181.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Fenerbahce18c178.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.334438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9775…ed41backed Fenerbahce40c171.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.781030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Fenerbahce55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.57462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Fenerbahce58c169.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Fenerbahce59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Fenerbahce60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Fenerbahce57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Maccabi Tel Aviv41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.52030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1ed…d8e2backed Fenerbahce12c145.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Fenerbahce59c134.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv43c124.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.092050%10 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Fenerbahce25c124$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9107…46d6backed Fenerbahce42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv68c118.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.335238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Fenerbahce59c110.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Fenerbahce19c105.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…ee84backed Fenerbahce19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv68c101.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Fenerbahce20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3886…a93dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3903…6058backed Maccabi Tel Aviv57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Fenerbahce24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Fenerbahce55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6127338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b7…e992backed Fenerbahce24c99.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Fenerbahce57c94.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv40c93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.87247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Fenerbahce52c91.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv68c88.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.215446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Fenerbahce59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.