Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf28c08fee8c8ea3407eb1d263f02333b2b844003ca6cbf6fef6b6b5ed889531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes | 60c | 69,992$41,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,805.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 60c | 61,051$36,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,532.45 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 27,940$11,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,097.79 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 0c | 26,749$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 25,699$10,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,295.41 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 16,899$6,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,254.27 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 15,951$11,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.42 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 47c | 12,221$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.37 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 41c | 11,265$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,646.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed No | 47c | 9,120$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 59c | 7,555$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.53 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 41c | 7,500$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.81 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 6,073$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.04 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 41c | 5,821$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 5,528$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.7 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 4,877$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.43 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 64c | 4,666$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 4,372$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.64 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 40c | 3,953$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 40c | 2,955$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.79 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 70c | 2,547$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.14 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 77c | 2,321$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 56c | 2,293$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.11 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 2,170$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.5 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 1,953$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.81 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 63c | 1,941$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.64 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 1,923$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.23 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 51c | 1,891$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.74 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 8c | 1,770$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 45c | 1,656$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.81 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,475$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.55 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 40c | 1,392$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.2 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,368$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,269$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 1,250$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.76 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 1,250$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.75 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 1,249$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.61 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 1,227$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 57c | 1,156$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.97 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,024$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.39 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 954.83$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.37 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 59c | 920.5$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.1 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 48c | 885.77$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.86 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 831.79$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 64c | 826.65$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.47 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 61c | 637.95$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 39c | 618$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…9ff4backed Yes | 20c | 613.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 40c | 607.38$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.42 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 64c | 597.19$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 68c | 596.01$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 61c | 593.9$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 40c | 544.16$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.69 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 541.36$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 58c | 523.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 47c | 509.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 42c | 501$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 41c | 491.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.01 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 40c | 491.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.67 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes | 65c | 491.07$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 42c | 480.7$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 430.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 418$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 69c | 401.08$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 40c | 400.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.18 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 40c | 393.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 40c | 372$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 28c | 368.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 48c | 313.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 311.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 292$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 40c | 288.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.47 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 61c | 283.46$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 52c | 277.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 58c | 266.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 61c | 265.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 40c | 261.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 60c | 250$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.