Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87488a6872612e1e2518d5190994f49618b78777acee371038ee8fa11d41df00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 71c | 57,025$40,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,655.97 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 28c | 20,139$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.74 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 15,279$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104.47 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 12,322$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.1 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 53c | 11,614$6,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,436.06 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 7,598$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.88 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 7,319$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.89 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 6c | 6,903$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked No | 56c | 6,221$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 56c | 6,059$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.3 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 6,019$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.67 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 21c | 5,833$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.07 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 4,641$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 67c | 4,412$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 29c | 3,837$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.03 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 3,657$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.43 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 28c | 3,552$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.63 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 62c | 2,988$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.63 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 52c | 2,498$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 28c | 2,477$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.2 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,362$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.41 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 24c | 2,227$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.14 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 72c | 2,212$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked No | 1c | 2,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 2,122$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.66 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 33c | 2,097$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.45 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d0…9d96backed Yes | 71c | 1,879$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 41c | 1,648$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.62 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes | 77c | 1,536$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 1,457$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 42c | 1,435$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.52 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 1,429$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.86 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 35c | 1,389$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,257$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.78 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 48c | 1,046$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.59 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Yes | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 79c | 1,000$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 63c | 962.49$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.51 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 952.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.23 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 2c | 918.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 23c | 854.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 30c | 848.64$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 41c | 848.24$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 22c | 708$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 632$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.28 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 614.96$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 30c | 606.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 24c | 582.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 535.07$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 78c | 530$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 484.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.86 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 29c | 400$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 36c | 388.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.02 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 70c | 321$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 46c | 313.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked No | 79c | 304.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 300.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 80c | 256$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 69c | 253.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…9ff4backed No | 30c | 249.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 33c | 237.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 23c | 221.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 215.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 71c | 210.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 18c | 205.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…a3a5backed No | 79c | 201.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 60c | 198$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked No | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…ae90backed No | 72c | 194.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 43c | 193.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Yes | 47c | 190.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed Yes | 32c | 189.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked No | 79c | 185$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 60c | 176.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 41c | 160$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 30c | 156$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 30c | 154.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 28c | 143.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 80c | 139.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 139.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 30c | 134.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 132.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.