Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will IFK Göteborg vs. FCI Levadia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe569691abb6e51b7741f24ec9c71ec623222c28af016714ff26c8479c1dc39a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 14c | 3,141$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.81 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 1,725$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.11 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,507$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 1,248$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 897.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 820.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 13c | 765.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 26c | 692.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 12c | 512.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 11c | 389.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 17c | 316.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 12c | 314.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 78c | 266.39$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 77c | 195.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 7c | 190.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 13c | 160.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 78c | 101.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…a93dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 71.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 20c | 59.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 26c | 56.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…e3a8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 80c | 27.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 76c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IFK Göteborg vs. FCI Levadia end in a draw?this page
- Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
- Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.