Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20fc7c022c8594feaa4ad822b0a8758c9f01490a88bc939690883cafb44f9cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 26c | 14,895$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.38 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 10,698$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.54 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 7,071$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.71 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 3,221$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.96 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 2,127$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.98 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 36c | 1,208$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.1 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 33c | 1,176$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.33 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 16c | 945.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 16c | 907.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 78c | 776.24$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.04 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 753.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 662$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 57c | 508.39$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 452$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 20c | 452$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda96…7939backed Yes | 15c | 448.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +342%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 16c | 403.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 74c | 400$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 13c | 313.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Yes | 18c | 264.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 263.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed No | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 61c | 193.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Yes | 77c | 192.21$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed No | 15c | 175.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 67c | 174.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 172$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 13c | 168.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +254.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 15c | 133.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 21c | 129.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 50c | 105.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 80c | 86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 85.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 14c | 81.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 49c | 66.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 16c | 63.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed No | 22c | 53.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 79c | 50.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 55c | 45.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…b132backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…32ddbacked Yes | 74c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Yes | 63c | 28.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2544backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 58c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 56c | 18.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCI Levadia win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will IFK Göteborg vs. FCI Levadia end in a draw?No won
- Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.