Champions League · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9807297431edf90dd0d16ce91a2ecaaaf85ae65f2ff0c030f15bb079428a57f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 13c | 4,529$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.56 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,508$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 3,431$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.47 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 10c | 2,432$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.22 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,788$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 80c | 1,377$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,120$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 79c | 999.92$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 982.03$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 794.38$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 743$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 11c | 719$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 355.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 347.86$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 21c | 328$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…4557backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 247.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 4c | 237.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 216.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 200.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 76c | 195.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 136.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 117.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…a93dbacked Yes | 20c | 108.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…8b8abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed No | 79c | 84.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bd…28aabacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 21c | 69.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 65c | 61.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 65c | 61.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…fea4backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 79cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 50.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 78cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 80c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff8…abd8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.