TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No49c109,458$53,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,511.890%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed No47c84,961$40,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,169.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes56c81,634$45,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,308.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c58,578$30,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,199.1387531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes51c26,326$13,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c23,826$8,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,585.781,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes52c15,201$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,281.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes65c14,771$9,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.6970435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c12,214$5,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,286.921,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes54c11,050$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0831266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes51c7,768$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,767.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes52c7,552$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes55c7,396$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.853360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes55c6,070$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.5242647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No48c5,719$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.83955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No29c4,281$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.1488137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Yes54c3,553$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No24c3,378$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.135429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c3,063$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.8732944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c2,503$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.5731047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes53c2,395$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.3836248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed No46c2,180$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7a…0a45backed No1c2,167$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Yes52c2,110$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes76c1,949$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.64942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed Yes56c1,787$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No40c1,545$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8631342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No38c1,367$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.315018%9 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes53c1,296$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.126659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c1,136$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.0560648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed No46c1,122$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes56c1,118$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.864617.4%8 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes78c1,109$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8999435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes78c985.89$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.952433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+114.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes71c968.55$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1220832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No26c948.91$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1324340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No24c884.38$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.254645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes54c877.18$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.53545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No38c864.39$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.648440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes79c863.18$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.27560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No46c858.82$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2218250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No35c836.19$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9530856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No39c818$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9323352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed No48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.275459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes76c723.25$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes54c690$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.41978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes54c690$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.41650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.892846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked Yes75c645.86$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No23c632$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.362254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed Yes51c588.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb20d…83aebacked Yes54c560.97$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c553.34$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1539443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Yes54c552.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c549.18$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7548947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked No3c534.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0290%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5740250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No18c516.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.824245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes53c508.83$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes54c505.93$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.737163.4%45 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes53c501.5$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.72528%7 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01fc…931bbacked No44c485.7$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No32c475.07$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.537236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.962646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes55c462.55$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.159947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes77c451.85$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.872065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes77c436.02$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.293056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b92…4f18backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No30c416.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes79c407.67$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.118859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes70c400.09$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3616350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes54c393.79$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.791560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No22c389.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.138040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes52c386.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.543627.8%10 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked No28c383$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4414238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes53c358.08$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1210045%45 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No45c323.75$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6913037.7%49 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes50c301.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.571060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c299.69$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1741553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes52c289.46$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.942254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No29c286.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.827339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No44c283.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.849553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.513040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed No44c274.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No28c271.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1310539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Yes54c261.11$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes54c256$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9128651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.525763.2%36 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No11c244.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.616437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.