TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c5,466$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.9398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c4,250$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.611,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes8c3,893$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.373525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes39c3,738$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.462725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c2,454$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.9170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c2,292$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.83,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes60c1,804$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.929239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes27c1,545$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.233751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes11c1,507$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.713938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c1,392$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9421547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes14c1,337$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.223324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes16c1,289$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.071631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes21c1,258$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.463240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes25c1,152$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.362222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes13c1,071$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.531020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes23c1,058$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6238246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes58c982.14$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.6111454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes16c858.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes60c814.11$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c780.85$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes11c700.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.283622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes23c698.03$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8247240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c683.13$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c635.92$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes20c555.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.121,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes26c481.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.715068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No70c468.9$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c455.59$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.251,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes12c416.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes60c331.73$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes27c317.81$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8122841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c317$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9633346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes18c315.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6411633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes65c308.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c306.04$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes16c260.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2913228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c241$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.531,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed No55c217$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c206.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd8…a3a5backed No78c192.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes27c178.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1912650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes52c177$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.412466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes8c175$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed No79c164.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes13c149.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4919847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes13c149.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes13c149.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65f…134ebacked Yes23c145.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c141.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No72c129.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.582951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes27c129.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No54c124.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8423953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No69c123.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No55c123.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.649357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c120.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.419960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.420660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No74c115.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No73c114.09$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8126450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4091…77d1backed Yes27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Yes34c103.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.131735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes17c95.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes52c94.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0513952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes28c91.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3911848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No74c91.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.622483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33e3…c60fbacked Yes59c89.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No80c85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No77c84.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.168032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c83…28d9backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes62c80.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes18c79.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes23c78.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed No80c75.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.332360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes61c70.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56c…6afdbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked No79c62.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.982065%13 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c60.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No73c60.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…c5efbacked Yes19c58.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No31c57.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes28c53.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.798454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3886…a93dbacked No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.114349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Yes41c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.620449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.816856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No70c36.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.953542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.