TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes50c191,661$96,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,411.234261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes51c62,137$31,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,447.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c38,878$19,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,326.733,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No50c24,762$12,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3812254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No50c17,884$8,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9011546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes52c16,125$8,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,700.985440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c15,065$7,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,408.991,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No49c12,306$6,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,03012951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed No49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No50c9,187$4,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,576.9171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No51c8,397$4,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,273.4322841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No49c7,937$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.132835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No50c6,971$3,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,485.651450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed No49c6,902$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c6,693$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c6,614$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.461,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c6,004$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.161,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c5,889$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.8870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No50c5,695$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.7598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c5,154$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.999268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No48c4,566$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.791,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No49c4,304$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.285743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…bc0dbacked No49c4,060$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c3,791$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.6397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No49c3,524$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.883751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c3,371$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.8272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No63c3,115$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.099540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No49c3,042$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.581838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe13e…4ad1backed No50c2,688$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked No51c2,567$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3113836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c2,483$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.221,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c2,000$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.3353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c1,866$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.9323548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbf…0bf0backed No17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes8c1,684$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.13742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+208.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked No49c1,670$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No59c1,397$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick70cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No49c1,301$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.59854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No50c1,194$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.8212650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…ae4abacked No17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked No17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No50c1,122$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.94447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.868550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c1,020$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No49c1,000$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3314652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No36c984.28$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc2…1be1backed No17c901.1$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed No49c865.77$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No50c850.45$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.4611848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No49c810$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No49c809$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.412568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed No51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No48c793.14$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.68760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked No50c722.74$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No40c691.37$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No57c687.8$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes67c664.17$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No50c652.19$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.478454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes66c640$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.47825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aad…1155backed No17c605.49$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3848032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes50c599.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes70c598$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.293938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes54c550$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2533735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No43c511.15$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes60c499.11$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6410273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed No31c480$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.515733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No50c463.52$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.465954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No49c449.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.586346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No51c449.48$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7547240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes38c446.57$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1411454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed No51c415.62$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed No46c413.04$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No51c408$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.083828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes55c405.28$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.842669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No50c403.92$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9612751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes47c392.65$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7225652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No51c378.67$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5833346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c372$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No52c365.36$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.223953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No49c362$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3818456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes51c352.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No41c340.45$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes38c303.85$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5211633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c300.34$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.811144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed No50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No45c278.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9512247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No51c266$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.334528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.