TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b78…473dbacked No78c10,316$7,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.0122269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No50c10,130$5,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.144639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No70c8,520$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.4718774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes56c7,839$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.519726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No77c7,745$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.0619172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes24c6,517$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.9910945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No77c3,797$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c3,348$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.6270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No70c2,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.626563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No51c2,750$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.179540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No31c2,500$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.2610273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84c1…4114backed Yes23c2,390$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e8…0836backed Yes23c2,390$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b29…bed9backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No41c2,293$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.0511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No17c2,277$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.581,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c2,266$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.7498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes53c2,244$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Yes68c2,065$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa643…b4c2backed Yes21c2,012$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…2193backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eed…1b88backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…cd20backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x603e…e019backed Yes21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes76c1,837$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Yes34c1,750$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd647…08a5backed Yes27c1,600$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8f…b9b2backed Yes23c1,552$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed Yes23c1,552$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6214…c4a0backed Yes23c1,552$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+190.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee6…a1efbacked Yes23c1,552$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d8…6eacbacked Yes23c1,552$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4d…ed6fbacked Yes23c1,552$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No67c1,501$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.267974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c1,116$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.441,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes24c1,090$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9117244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked No14c1,070$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.693836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes60c1,002$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.968760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e7b…d719backed Yes26c961.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No73c925.43$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.238246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No39c882.44$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.31,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c869.81$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No28c708.15$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.237038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed No4c700$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c656.95$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c649.89$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.21,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes21c595.73$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.025440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes58c579$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.775733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x625a…f957backed Yes21c571.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Yes75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No35c469.56$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes76c457.33$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.576339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c421.27$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed No4c408.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick3cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes50c400.59$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes38c365.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c358$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes4c292$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.982540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No57c278.1$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c276.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7213228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes53c263.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes36c255.71$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Yes39c252$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No35c241$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.33525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No10c239.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.941526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No23c202.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes21c195.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes32c191.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.647240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Yes42c190$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-82.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c164.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.263,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed Yes28c142.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes63c138.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed No34c133.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.751060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No10c123.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8727058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…8c41backed Yes43c122.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes54c120.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No77c120.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6211144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c117.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No16c111.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.468624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…a618backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4385…5560backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc08d…1e00backed Yes27c111.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c111.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No50c99.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.43161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes18c99.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No38c97.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.016453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Yes55c91.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a73…1c47backed Yes28c89.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c83…28d9backed Yes55c85.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes78c83.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes18c81.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.683946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20175.9%1 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.30per pick36cpaid-75.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No35c77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2128721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No40c76.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No76c76.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.372653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.