TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Kings, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,196,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,196,701 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd669…46ecbacked Kings7c461,275$33,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,332.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings6c164,438$10,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,294.861,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings6c107,000$6,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,419.9928649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings7c104,999$7,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,239.9247028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings7c78,315$5,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,575.732,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Kings7c60,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30027424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings7c60,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Kings7c57,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9367…f6bebacked Kings7c55,861$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.360%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Kings6c55,576$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.3114842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Kings1c50,022$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.636341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings6c50,010$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings6c37,708$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.4696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings1c29,663$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.632,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings1c26,280$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.385213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Kings7c20,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Kings8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings6c16,297$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Kings4c15,311$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Kings8c14,600$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1688441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings2c13,325$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.761,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Kings8c12,480$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.391717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Kings9c11,113$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.172832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Kings9c11,073$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.586055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings7c10,100$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7071,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60031644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c9,400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings8c8,666$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.2841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Kings7c8,382$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2330845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd324…000bbacked Kings8c6,430$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Kings4c5,530$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.651417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Kings6c5,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31224045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings1c5,044$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.328783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Kings7c4,714$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33015141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8285…77c9backed Kings7c4,280$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Kings6c4,121$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2413234.8%46 W · 86 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings7c4,105$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.062650%13 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Kings9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Kings7c3,856$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.928026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings7c3,827$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.891,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Kings7c3,331$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Kings7c3,286$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings5c3,134$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings7c3,019$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Kings8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Kings7c2,880$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8124841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f83…1a6bbacked Kings7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ce…2b5cbacked Kings3c2,782$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.83633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7df…a4f5backed Kings5c2,689$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kings11c2,680$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7816440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings8c2,646$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Kings4c2,416$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8616943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Kings7c2,329$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16317356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kings10c2,300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2941038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca00…3984backed Kings9c2,278$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Kings8c2,275$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18210225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Kings9c2,106$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4314738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Kings7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kings6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…4d20backed Kings9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Kings8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605733.3%19 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Kings3c2,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Kings3c1,896$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.233912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb363…c14abacked Kings9c1,870$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Kings3c1,870$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4829…f201backed Kings2c1,793$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Kings8c1,700$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Kings4c1,660$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.416146%74 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Kings8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12090%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad7f…92b5backed Kings9c1,468$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.121225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Kings7c1,443$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017832.1%25 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Kings7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda5…2471backed Kings7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Kings7c1,425$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.759628.1%27 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x829e…2c6dbacked Kings8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+57.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Kings8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62f2…f785backed Kings8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Kings6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7218336.6%67 W · 116 L+0.8wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kings5c1,162$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9121443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings5c1,108$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.381,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ffe…4ef8backed Kings9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kings8c1,007$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8662144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Kings7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Kings2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.113138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e89…cdbabacked Kings7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…11f7backed Kings9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd3…f743backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316d…c895backed Kings7c994.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Kings2c972.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.444139%16 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Kings3c967.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Kings7c957.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Kings11c900$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9640726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Kings8c896.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7213139.7%52 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Kings7c857.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b357backed Kings9c821.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.97433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.