TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,605 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c75,163$36,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,539.543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c70,714$36,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,771.151,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c47,387$22,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,492.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under48c30,000$14,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,6501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c22,385$11,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,763.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c21,432$11,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,180.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under46c16,711$7,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,024.215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c12,003$6,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,931.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3d…6165backed Under50c10,001$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6324…7033backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9226648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over53c7,732$4,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,072.8974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under51c7,639$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,743.2417550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e4…84d3backed Under51c6,752$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x247e…c834backed Under51c6,741$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb4…832bbacked Under51c6,676$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over54c6,434$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.3458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over54c6,390$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.8487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3511159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c5,088$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.8918749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a7d…d88bbacked Under51c4,965$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c4,118$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.6538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Over53c3,936$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c2,960$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.331,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over52c2,926$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.1814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c2,879$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.0970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under51c2,546$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.755349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under50c2,546$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.95547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,477$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.235,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6610847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c2,096$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.6322948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over50c2,094$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04713946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.788647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe397…7f5dbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,924$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under56c1,786$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.8312147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,530$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77950754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c1,084$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c1,061$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under48c1,043$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.795651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c938.3$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.772,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over79c863.75$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c852.28$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2826745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c790.41$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c767$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.841,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under10c757.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.511,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over69c721.43$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Under51c595.53$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.341338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over53c590$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.735749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over53c492.67$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under48c480$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.644252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under55c451.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7726048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c434.29$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under51c357.75$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.316953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under18c330.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under47c317.02$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0215846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under51c300.02$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.619442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.821049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over46c299.94$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9724946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over64c294.13$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.521,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c271.1$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c270.86$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c270.28$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.432,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c267.64$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.441,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Over49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under48c234.4$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over53c229$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3743052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under47c223.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under18c221.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1918835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under48c195.25$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5323256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c190.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over53c163$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0121848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.533949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c147.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c144.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c139$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over61c117.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.831,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.655246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under21c116.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Under54c114.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.572040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under52c113.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5614347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c112.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over61c109.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…cd69backed Under48c108.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.662245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Under47c105.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.536250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea21…b96cbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under52c102.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.320350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x044d…e6f7backed Over55c100.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512256.6%69 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.