TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,175 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Kings46c150,000$68,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,929.5654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets54c108,410$58,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,868.7772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets54c31,014$16,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,285.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hornets54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9737539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Kings33c13,408$4,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,371.619954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings45c13,370$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,043.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Hornets68c12,571$8,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.8213154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…f969backed Kings47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4982…2d3fbacked Hornets53c8,310$4,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x572d…2b3abacked Kings47c8,103$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…cbccbacked Hornets53c7,354$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings28c5,195$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Hornets72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4006147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef07…7740backed Hornets53c4,758$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3684…d96dbacked Hornets53c3,797$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Hornets54c3,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.985341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings46c3,604$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe861…3315backed Kings47c3,595$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6262…5dfabacked Kings47c3,521$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings44c3,427$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.671,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings35c3,418$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets55c3,276$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.22,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Kings44c2,937$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.4614842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Hornets55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12514338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Kings48c2,331$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1196237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Kings46c2,257$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.224744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Hornets63c2,020$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.395064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Hornets70c1,854$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.143269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Hornets56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7159140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hornets54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Hornets52c1,707$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.3112045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets56c1,525$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets56c1,132$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings46c1,050$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.852,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Hornets56c1,021$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.314942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Kings46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings46c839.9$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.351,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets54c703.7$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.726048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Hornets55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Kings34c675.52$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.991,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings33c651.63$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.981,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Kings46c622.98$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Hornets58c602.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3320963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets53c599.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28233360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings47c524.34$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.862,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hornets55c514.96$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Hornets55c476.42$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.428453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hornets54c468.52$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Kings47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18868944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hornets54c384.8$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.681,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Hornets62c380.04$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.814658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Hornets56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.149357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings47c345.02$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.973,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Kings46c339.68$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.051,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings38c305.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.513,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Hornets54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13821049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Hornets53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Hornets53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.993435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Hornets55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Kings34c277.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.541,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Kings47c277$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.194042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings40c265.63$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Kings44c265.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Hornets56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets55c243.75$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Hornets53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings47c229.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Hornets56c227.61$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6426345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Kings47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Hornets54c211.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Hornets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Kings45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets52c195.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.931,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Hornets56c182.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1415446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hornets55c182.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0238152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets56c179$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7636449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…ea2ebacked Hornets56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Hornets72c172.22$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2224856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings32c163.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.981,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Hornets56c156.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Kings46c155$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.356547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Hornets55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4527847.1%131 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…5cf2backed Kings47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Hornets69c134.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Kings46c133.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5716046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Hornets53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0815857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Kings45c125.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7812055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Hornets56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1410753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings33c104.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.351,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Kings44c95.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4929848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdeb…8cd1backed Kings47c92.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Hornets56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2961056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Hornets56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2914555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Hornets60c81.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7211558.3%67 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Kings46c80.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9916948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Hornets56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.214049.3%69 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Kings48c75.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0728056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Hornets55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7319849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings45c69.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.