NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6646ad9ec059dfeaa5562d249f62d4ad795740decafa68e51f0953793c3b88e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 1,258$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.24 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 1,061$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 19c | 662.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.6 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 56c | 540.54$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 22c | 475$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.74 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Under | 38c | 399.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 334$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 50c | 330.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 20c | 318.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 256.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…56b3backed Over | 50c | 226.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 14c | 201.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 199.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…1e4abacked Under | 73c | 195.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 52c | 164.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 153.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 50c | 150.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 141.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 117.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…351fbacked Under | 64c | 104$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 94.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 51c | 94.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 15c | 88.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Under | 23c | 88.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 82.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…dc45backed Over | 53c | 74.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 19c | 71.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 69.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 30c | 67.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 64.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 62c | 55.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 50.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Under | 46c | 48.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 44c | 47.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 30c | 38.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 49c | 35.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 30.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 44c | 27.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 62c | 25.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Over | 50c | 25.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 57c | 22.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…b1fcbacked Over | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kings vs. HornetsHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-23.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-27.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.