NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b353d22ef02c19af2c33c6162e1da917711367d6ec3a951a5455dbe75278cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,366,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,366,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 890 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets | 54c | 116,495$62,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,089.6 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 48c | 100,735$48,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,372.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 51c | 68,827$35,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,813.63 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Kings | 48c | 60,000$28,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,699.84 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…00debacked Kings | 51c | 52,000$26,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,520 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 48c | 51,246$24,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,597.84 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Kings | 49c | 50,939$24,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,959.91 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 52c | 48,000$24,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,040 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…df6ebacked Kings | 51c | 41,100$20,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,960.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Hornets | 51c | 38,334$19,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,783.58 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…2defbacked Hornets | 49c | 35,467$17,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,088.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings | 46c | 34,870$16,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,039.99 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 43c | 26,446$11,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,356.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…cdcbbacked Kings | 51c | 22,632$11,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,542.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 57c | 20,152$11,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,682.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…a3d5backed Hornets | 49c | 20,012$9,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,206.12 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…2adcbacked Kings | 51c | 19,078$9,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,729.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 47c | 18,912$8,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,836.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…3b11backed Hornets | 49c | 18,143$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,252.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kings | 48c | 18,000$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,569.92 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…39e2backed Hornets | 49c | 17,912$8,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,135.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Kings | 50c | 17,562$8,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,756.15 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6246…166bbacked Hornets | 49c | 16,871$8,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,604.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Kings | 48c | 16,571$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…f862backed Kings | 51c | 16,520$8,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,425.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…4957backed Hornets | 49c | 16,512$8,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,421.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…a465backed Hornets | 49c | 16,055$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,188.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hornets | 52c | 15,977$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,668.85 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Hornets | 54c | 15,570$8,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,123.15 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…e64cbacked Kings | 51c | 14,739$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…78dbbacked Kings | 51c | 13,647$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Hornets | 52c | 12,512$6,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…a3bbbacked Hornets | 49c | 12,169$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 49c | 11,863$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…3ee3backed Kings | 51c | 11,374$5,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…bb63backed Hornets | 49c | 11,137$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e2…d106backed Kings | 51c | 11,071$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…22e6backed Hornets | 49c | 11,011$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 48c | 10,950$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…6e31backed Kings | 51c | 10,668$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…ae75backed Hornets | 49c | 10,461$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4493…061cbacked Hornets | 50c | 10,418$5,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…b695backed Kings | 50c | 10,388$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kings | 47c | 9,829$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.4 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 52c | 9,608$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.69 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…d723backed Kings | 51c | 9,490$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…64cfbacked Hornets | 50c | 9,135$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…b5abbacked Kings | 51c | 9,010$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…1d57backed Hornets | 49c | 8,978$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Kings | 48c | 8,430$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.38 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…d097backed Hornets | 50c | 8,429$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…d889backed Kings | 50c | 8,429$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…601ebacked Hornets | 50c | 8,372$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…2681backed Hornets | 50c | 8,075$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…91a2backed Hornets | 49c | 8,041$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 50c | 8,034$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9d…06a9backed Hornets | 50c | 7,762$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…fb96backed Kings | 51c | 7,659$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…0fecbacked Hornets | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets | 55c | 7,405$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.74 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 39c | 6,685$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…b6f3backed Kings | 50c | 6,420$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…cc6abacked Hornets | 49c | 6,416$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Hornets | 49c | 6,090$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.89 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Hornets | 50c | 5,945$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.46 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…ca32backed Kings | 49c | 5,918$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Kings | 48c | 5,775$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0024…7f31backed Hornets | 49c | 5,755$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 57c | 5,583$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8eebbacked Kings | 50c | 5,545$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…5a1cbacked Kings | 49c | 5,522$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 47c | 5,480$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.53 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Hornets | 51c | 5,466$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.48 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…79acbacked Kings | 51c | 5,380$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…341dbacked Kings | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…bc20backed Hornets | 50c | 5,057$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings | 49c | 4,969$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.18 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Hornets | 48c | 4,868$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.65 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 49c | 4,831$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.19 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…ecd2backed Kings | 50c | 4,817$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…9b8fbacked Kings | 50c | 4,740$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…57e8backed Kings | 50c | 4,676$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 49c | 4,623$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…9a72backed Kings | 50c | 4,575$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3476…41b8backed Kings | 51c | 4,503$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Kings | 50c | 4,473$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Hornets | 50c | 4,407$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.57 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…d703backed Kings | 51c | 4,324$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…5a49backed Kings | 50c | 4,278$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…8094backed Kings | 51c | 4,219$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…c765backed Kings | 50c | 4,205$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…c120backed Kings | 50c | 4,015$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hornets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Kings | 51c | 3,923$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…3a7abacked Hornets | 49c | 3,806$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…7827backed Kings | 50c | 3,801$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 47c | 3,748$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.53 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kings vs. HornetsHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-23.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-27.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.