TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,379 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf535…e984backed Yes58c316.25$185 inWon+$131.252166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No41c241$100 inLost-$1001,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No42c215.39$90 inLost-$89.864,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed No49c204.94$100 inLost-$10013345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked No42c199.97$84 inLost-$83.992937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9357…407ebacked Yes58c171.94$100 inWon+$71.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes59c152.95$90 inWon+$62.714757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked No41c100$40 inLost-$40.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Yes59c85.46$50 inWon+$35.4626354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda98…4e77backed Yes59c80.27$47 inWon+$33.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdf2…740bbacked Yes58c72.71$42 inWon+$30.5418040.6%73 W · 107 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No42c64.34$27 inLost-$27.021,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246c…8142backed No44c54.2$24 inLost-$23.853839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7387…31b0backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon+$21.725054%27 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes51c30$15 inWon+$14.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.8618742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes56c24$13 inWon+$10.5634556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.