NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5bcea512752f447b679bdbb3e8e3eabb282559f686b913a61589818e3793ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,714 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 36,539$20,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,079.36 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 13,837$6,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,585.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 9,445$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,219.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…b9c1backed Under | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 3,471$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Over | 54c | 3,040$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,117$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 47c | 2,068$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.09 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 44c | 2,012$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.7 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d0…abc9backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 1,675$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…b141backed Over | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…2000backed Over | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,400$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 46c | 1,309$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.97 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 1,169$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.83 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,028$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 579.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 62c | 565.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 559$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 45c | 508.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 45c | 475.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.79 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 390.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 14c | 312.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 297.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 46c | 296.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 47c | 288$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 42c | 210.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over | 56c | 203.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 44c | 196.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…cc8fbacked Under | 47c | 185$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 159$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…9d73backed Under | 44c | 153$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 37c | 150.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 55c | 148.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 43c | 137$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 130.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 130.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 45c | 109.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 44c | 101.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 34c | 92.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 44c | 92.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…a620backed Over | 56c | 73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…8ffabacked Under | 45c | 70.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…0d37backed Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 57c | 58.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 55c | 54.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…df68backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…0e45backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 56c | 42.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 44c | 36.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 41c | 34.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…7957backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under | 44c | 32.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 32.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Under | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Over | 56c | 31.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 36c | 31.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 31.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 41c | 30.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 59c | 29.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 28.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 41c | 28.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 59c | 28.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 44c | 28.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Over | 57c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7935…fa59backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 44c | 25.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 65c | 24.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0391backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Under | 45c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…79f2backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 58c | 17.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kings vs. HornetsHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-23.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-27.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.