TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,714 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over55c36,539$20,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,079.3643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c13,837$6,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,585.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c9,445$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff22…b9c1backed Under43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c3,471$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Over54c3,040$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.62133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c2,117$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under47c2,068$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.097248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under44c2,012$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.722643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d0…abc9backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,675$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27c…b141backed Over57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380f…2000backed Over57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,400$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under46c1,309$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.979352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c1,169$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.832,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,028$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.715,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c579.52$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over62c565.6$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c559$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under45c508.31$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under45c475.98$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c390.48$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.095,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.912,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under14c312.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.551,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under44c297.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under46c296.05$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8721049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under47c288$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6416849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under42c210.06$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8817643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over56c203.95$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2110748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under44c196.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.989442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2b…cc8fbacked Under47c185$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under42c169$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.021,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c159$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.042,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…9d73backed Under44c153$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c150.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.113,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over55c148.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under33c142.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.231,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under43c137$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c130.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c130.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under45c109.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under47c109$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7754246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under44c101.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8914347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x64f7…32aabacked Over60c98.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under34c92.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under44c92.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1312055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9981…a620backed Over56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…8ffabacked Under45c70.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbc6…0d37backed Over54c61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over57c58.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2619851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over55c54.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b73…df68backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7489…0e45backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under42c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under45c44.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0227050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over56c42.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6420949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.222456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under44c36.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4913954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under41c34.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf494…7957backed Over56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under44c32.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.176950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under41c32.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.981,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Under47c31.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.917856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Over56c31.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under36c31.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c31.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5923651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under41c30.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.991,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8416551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over59c29.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3120350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c28.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.752,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under41c28.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7516046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Over59c28.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.677650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under44c28.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb91…f1edbacked Over57c26.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.854969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7935…fa59backed Over56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under44c25.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9815459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over65c24.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1814860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6817553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…0391backed Over54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Under45c23.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.013450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569f…7a96backed Over54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ad…79f2backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over58c17.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.