TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,239 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over53c71,322$37,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,901.9343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c35,090$16,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,805.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under46c17,269$7,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2971,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c15,899$7,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,344.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba6…9db6backed Under45c13,532$6,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,442.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefc2…cf39backed Under49c13,273$6,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,769.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62cf…19ddbacked Over51c13,058$6,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,659.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce2…788cbacked Over55c11,862$6,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,524.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cb…1f7dbacked Over51c11,206$5,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,715.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa788…5969backed Over51c11,076$5,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec39…a267backed Under49c10,291$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,248.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a71…99b4backed Under49c10,226$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,215.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ab…5339backed Under49c10,212$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,208.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over51c7,931$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.536654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe028…1c0bbacked Over51c6,654$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c5,509$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc7…b99dbacked Over51c4,093$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8eebbacked Over55c4,064$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under47c3,455$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.8648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Under45c3,417$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa7…8f31backed Under45c3,308$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c3,173$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over55c3,137$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.8934851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under48c2,864$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.3115545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65fc…c072backed Over1c2,727$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303850%19 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over52c2,358$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.9310448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,305$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09218233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c1,597$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.293,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.745147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c1,552$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.5430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c1,548$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Over56c1,368$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.0828649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c1,287$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.785,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,266$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e18…8c01backed Under49c1,138$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9614251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c1,040$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4118349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c1,009$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c870.61$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0119445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over51c854.9$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under45c833.97$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.567142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over54c711.77$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3620352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c691.66$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under45c661.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.1227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over54c658$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3238148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c647.24$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.342,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.121,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b18…9e09backed Over55c560$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over55c549.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.520846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.530224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under46c487.06$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0121049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb0…0ce3backed Under49c463$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b80…9923backed Under49c461$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over51c455.88$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under8c442.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.1321443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over52c434.1$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.738052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5319045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under48c418.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.957951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c416$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over50c413.96$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under44c409.09$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.097153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under27c401.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0718835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c395$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.81,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over52c392.31$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20421653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x513d…c44cbacked Over52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under49c385$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under47c371.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8410748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf876…13febacked Over55c361.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over54c354.81$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.613554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c309$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.861,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under44c308.07$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abf…fec0backed Under49c305.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under45c275.58$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.581,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c253.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under40c249.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.751,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over51c239.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Under45c235$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.35837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c231.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.662,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…14c0backed Over51c226.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ab…9a7dbacked Under49c221$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3913750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f6…54c4backed Under49c215$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over71c211.36$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…6e79backed Over51c209.2$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…ad0bbacked Under49c209$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under43c208.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…1bcebacked Over51c207.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8243…06b4backed Over51c206.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab98…6b77backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over5c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d8…1cccbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.