TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,892 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c2,879$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under16c1,733$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under30c1,680$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.112,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c1,519$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over59c1,348$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.3243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over69c1,195$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.667152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under33c936.84$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.933,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over64c829$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over60c634.35$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.6187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over62c617.74$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Under50c599.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.454067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under28c594.64$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3121443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.730224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over64c432$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.611,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under38c393.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.899442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under32c351.35$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.91,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under7c319.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under31c310.01$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.613,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over66c301.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19516159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under41c299.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4421049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Under42c264.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.256550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over69c263.68$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under31c241.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.241,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under34c229.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under31c228.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under34c199.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over59c184.49$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1097444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over47c182$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under38c176.06$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.481,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over75c174.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6521259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over45c168$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.133030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over62c162.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under39c149.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under35c143.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over59c132.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over72c124.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over43c121.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2140440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over66c121.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over65c119.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over46c115.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3411538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Over59c106.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over67c103.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Over74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.34146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over64c99.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6415156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under36c99.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8316046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116a…90cabacked Over60c97.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over74c96.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over59c95.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1312558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over58c87.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8754951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under34c84.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.451,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over74c79.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over63c74.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.952,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5814…958dbacked Over65c69.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Over60c69.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d14…1100backed Over66c66.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over58c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8626639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c63.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.841,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.145544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under37c51.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9212055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc549…97b7backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Over59c49.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.091936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under35c49.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9923441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over57c39.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over60c37.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258057.5%46 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under38c35.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2120350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over70c35.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under31c34.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31fa…a8f4backed Over59c33.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid+63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015054.7%82 W · 68 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Over61c32.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Over63c31.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over47c30.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Over61c24.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.217650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over60c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d98…f451backed Over66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d53…9298backed Over73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…e929backed Over75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.051560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04c…c640backed Over63c19.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over64c18.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.741,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Over73c17.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8714154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc43…1c86backed Over60c16.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.