NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d44226ab0351422668b0452765c6308cec96b810e428ad8b227db118d9743ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 50c | 80,900$40,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,817.4 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 55,423$27,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,290.32 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 45,692$22,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,484.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…ec08backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf598…c6ccbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 17,384$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,345.55 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 16,015$8,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,978.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda8…f1efbacked Under | 48c | 12,711$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,609.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…df80backed Over | 52c | 11,941$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,209.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…3a4ebacked Over | 52c | 11,323$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…1506backed Over | 51c | 11,161$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,692.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…a8efbacked Under | 49c | 11,151$5,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 11,124$5,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.94 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…85a8backed Under | 48c | 10,373$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…7a3cbacked Over | 52c | 10,250$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 52c | 10,044$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.32 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…2eefbacked Under | 50c | 8,495$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 8,369$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 48c | 7,736$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.55 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 49c | 7,488$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.09 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…f8e2backed Over | 50c | 6,793$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…cc2fbacked Under | 48c | 6,726$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 6,531$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.61 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…dd31backed Over | 48c | 6,180$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…5daabacked Under | 50c | 4,829$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…6a13backed Under | 50c | 4,811$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 4,664$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…32c4backed Over | 50c | 4,549$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…fffcbacked Over | 50c | 4,177$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf0…2677backed Over | 50c | 4,165$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 48c | 4,102$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.96 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…062ebacked Over | 50c | 3,945$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…f2c9backed Under | 50c | 3,835$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…d8d5backed Under | 48c | 3,412$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 3,395$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 3,216$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,480$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.02 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,404$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Under | 53c | 2,290$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.3 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 2,159$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.07 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…461ebacked Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 1,710$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.42 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…d86ebacked Under | 50c | 1,659$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 1,643$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.68 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Over | 56c | 1,618$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,137$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 975.95$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.28 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 833.69$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…a3f0backed Over | 49c | 814.29$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Under | 45c | 749.49$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…ac87backed Under | 48c | 725$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 4c | 705.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.24 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 52c | 677.98$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.55 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 55c | 660$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Over | 56c | 648.2$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 615.85$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.01 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 584$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…d669backed Over | 52c | 573$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Over | 49c | 503.69$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…2c13backed Under | 48c | 502$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 494.26$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 56c | 459.77$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 47c | 455$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 54c | 445$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 435.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…498cbacked Under | 48c | 404.17$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 398.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…b7d4backed Over | 52c | 355.7$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 338.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 47c | 334.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Over | 56c | 324.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 6c | 265$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 256.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…d3d8backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 50c | 182.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kings vs. HornetsHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-23.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-27.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.