TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,950 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over65c104,984$68,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,239.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under35c100,937$35,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,609.1419954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over57c29,115$16,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,731.2643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c19,399$8,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,147.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c6,130$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under35c5,921$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.412,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Over66c2,265$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under33c1,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00079650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c1,120$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under38c870.31$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8721443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over58c638.11$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under38c464.75$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7144…790fbacked Under43c408.41$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under42c364.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.592,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under41c299.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1779442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under43c248.55$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6821049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5652146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5643447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under41c231$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.985,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12216159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under33c193.94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.721,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c177.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.833,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under36c153.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over64c150.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under40c149.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9013448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1e4abacked Under27c148.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.063033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over47c148$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c142.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.882,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over64c137.16$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.31,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over57c131.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6112558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under42c127.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3723651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c119.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over65c118.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0941449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over70c106.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756639.4%26 W · 40 L-11.8wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over36c96.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7240440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under42c95.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1614347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under43c86.21$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2420350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over46c75.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over21c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over57c64.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under41c64.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over40c63.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5945544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over69c58.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d63…1f72backed Under35c57.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.32per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under39c56.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over64c52.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2616046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f4…08b7backed Over63c50.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.871758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under43c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under44c47.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9121843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under42c45.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under32c43.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5410718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Over57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.381936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under43c41.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.846950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under42c30.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over63c29.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5934047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over61c29.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over57c28.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over56c25.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over62c24.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1757250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over76c20.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under59c20.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2619245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.222456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over65c17.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over66c17.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5112055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2f…3654backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.