TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Madridof Real Madrid, Hapoel Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,023 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid69c13,464$9,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,123.4354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c12,086$4,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,362.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Real Madrid70c4,309$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv9c4,235$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c3,116$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid67c2,496$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.5812042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Real Madrid68c1,954$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9221444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Hapoel Tel Aviv30c1,872$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.071154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv28c1,868$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.681650%8 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+63%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Real Madrid75c1,236$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv33c1,171$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2408…24b8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv36c1,132$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv33c1,088$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid70c1,062$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.1831446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid69c1,015$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9227557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Hapoel Tel Aviv30c995.07$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Hapoel Tel Aviv28c946.18$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1428943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Real Madrid68c776.97$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.632454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Real Madrid70c731.43$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.432352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv17c693.43$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185050%25 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Hapoel Tel Aviv29c649.95$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.495040%20 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Real Madrid67c644.75$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4813147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c634.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Real Madrid64c550$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.524430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1608256.1%46 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c473.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.016929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Real Madrid69c429$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.997100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb35f…3e04backed Real Madrid70c399.86$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c390.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+107.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Hapoel Tel Aviv21c389.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.863735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c378.34$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.968247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv23c351$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4318144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Real Madrid69c332.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.233775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv23c311.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hapoel Tel Aviv26c256.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7337052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Real Madrid70c253$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.071631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked Real Madrid68c250.96$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Real Madrid69c209.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.147741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Real Madrid68c180.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.123953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Real Madrid74c156.88$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0926544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv33c149.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Real Madrid62c148.64$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.982259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hapoel Tel Aviv22c147.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.425517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Real Madrid69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9310663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa3…0d9abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv35c144.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Real Madrid67c144.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.082055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Real Madrid70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.99851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Real Madrid68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Real Madrid68c136.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.524151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Real Madrid70c130.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Real Madrid69c130.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Real Madrid68c116.56$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.38845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Real Madrid69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.944355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv34c110.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Hapoel Tel Aviv33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Real Madrid65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3886…a93dbacked Real Madrid67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Real Madrid69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…9b16backed Real Madrid72c97.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb083…d6a5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b23…c9fdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c94.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv27c92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.963135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Real Madrid70c82.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Real Madrid69c78.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…6e9dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Hapoel Tel Aviv27c76.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.661450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e26…b560backed Hapoel Tel Aviv28c74.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Real Madrid79c73.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.266363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Real Madrid67c72.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.095046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0039…602fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv23c64.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d3…8f0bbacked Real Madrid70c62.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c62.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Real Madrid68c61.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.664136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Real Madrid68c60.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.368453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad34…9f3abacked Real Madrid67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.683243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8b…ad3fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c57.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv30c57.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Real Madrid72c57.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.813545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4191…889ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c57.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Real Madrid67c53.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Real Madrid68c52.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-70.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3903…6058backed Hapoel Tel Aviv25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Real Madrid70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c75…50e5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e2…21f4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb2…828fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv30c44.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3819748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa59…6dccbacked Real Madrid70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd1…6cf0backed Real Madrid71c42.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv33c42.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.924146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Real Madrid70c40.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.194971.4%35 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x296f…dd54backed Real Madrid66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.66055%33 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb309…e08fbacked Real Madrid69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Real Madrid67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.